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Case Hits Football Elite
Special Series $1000
Peak 7d
-14.7%
10h ago
% life +EV
0%
over last 53 polls
Max pull
22.3×
ceiling, this pool
EV trajectory · last 53 polls
Range: -20.3% to -14.7%
+EV crossings
≥2× pull
2.09%
fat-pull odds
≥10× pull
0.090%
grail odds
Median pull
$661
0.66× pack price, odds-weighted
CS Trigger
Pro only
How often does the 10%-extra-for-80%-floor insurance actually pay out on this pack? Estimates, not advice. You decide.
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Pool composition
22% of pulls are worth at least the $1000 pack (before fees).
Red = below break-even; green = above. The amber zone is where Collect Safe's 80% floor catches you.
Live activity
Every pull or add moves the EV
Card pool
Top cards by AC market value. Grail chips mark the top 0.1%; Chase marks the tier below. Trend tracks each card's value across every pack it's appeared in — its full history, not just its time in this pack — climbing or falling.
1
Tom Brady
Grail
2019 Panini Absolute · psa 9.0
$22,254
22.25×
—
0.0300%
$6.68
—
2
Peyton Manning
Grail
2025 Panini Absolute · beckett 9.5
$19,500
19.50×
—
0.0300%
$5.85
—
3
Patrick Mahomes II
Grail
2022 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$19,500
19.50×
—
0.0300%
$5.85
—
4
Drake Maye
2024 Donruss · psa 10.0
$2,000
2.00×
—
2.0000%
$40.00
10h
5
Josh Allen
2022 Panini Donruss · psa 10.0
$1,952
1.95×
—
2.0000%
$39.05
10h
6
Kurt Warner
2025 Panini Absolute · psa 10.0
$1,863
1.86×
—
2.0000%
$37.26
10h
7
Cooper DeJean
2025 Panini Absolute · psa 9.0
$1,490
1.49×
—
2.0000%
$29.80
2h
8
Bijan Robinson
2023 Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$1,426
1.43×
—
2.0000%
$28.52
6h
9
Ashton Jeanty
2025 Panini Absolute · psa 10.0
$1,360
1.36×
—
2.0000%
$27.20
6h
10
Larry Fitzgerald
2025 Panini Donruss · beckett 9.5
$1,350
1.35×
—
2.0000%
$27.00
7h
11
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
2023 Panini Donruss · psa 10.0
$1,210
1.21×
—
2.0000%
$24.20
8h
12
Bijan Robinson
2023 Panini Donruss · psa 10.0
$1,159
1.16×
—
2.0000%
$23.18
8h
13
Sam Darnold
2018 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$1,152
1.15×
—
2.0000%
$23.04
6h
14
Jalen Hurts
2020 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$1,124
1.12×
—
2.0000%
$22.49
8h
15
Drake Maye
2024 Donruss · psa 9.0
$945
0.95×
—
2.0000%
$18.90
1h
16
Jalen Hurts
2025 Panini Donruss · psa 10.0
$933
0.93×
—
2.0000%
$18.66
10h
17
Josh Allen
2024 Donruss · psa 9.0
$807
0.81×
—
2.0000%
$16.15
9h
18
Joe Burrow
2022 Panini Donruss · psa 9.0
$784
0.78×
—
2.0000%
$15.68
6h
19
Jalen Hurts
2023 Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$771
0.77×
—
2.0000%
$15.41
6h
20
Tyler Warren
2025 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$758
0.76×
—
2.0000%
$15.16
8h
21
Dak Prescott
2021 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$757
0.76×
—
2.0000%
$15.14
—
22
Josh Allen
2024 Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$730
0.73×
—
2.0000%
$14.60
—
23
TreVeyon Henderson
2025 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$719
0.72×
—
2.0000%
$14.39
6h
24
Bijan Robinson
2023 Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$708
0.71×
—
2.0000%
$14.16
10h
25
Joe Greene
2025 Panini Absolute · psa 10.0
$691
0.69×
—
2.0000%
$13.82
8h
26
Rob Gronkowski
2022 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$689
0.69×
—
2.0000%
$13.78
2h
27
Saquon Barkley
2025 Panini Donruss · psa 10.0
$670
0.67×
—
2.0000%
$13.41
—
28
Matthew Stafford
2023 Panini Absolute · psa 9.0
$661
0.66×
—
2.0000%
$13.23
48m 38s
29
Jalen Hurts
2023 Panini Absolute · psa 9.0
$653
0.65×
—
2.0000%
$13.06
—
30
Baker Mayfield
2021 Panini Donruss · psa 10.0
$644
0.64×
—
2.0000%
$12.88
8h
31
Jason Kelce
2025 Panini Absolute · psa 9.0
$639
0.64×
—
2.0000%
$12.79
10h
32
Reggie Wayne
2023 Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$622
0.62×
—
2.0000%
$12.44
6h
33
Malik Nabers
2024 Donruss · psa 10.0
$609
0.61×
—
2.0000%
$12.18
7h
34
Baker Mayfield
2018 Panini Donruss Optic · beckett 9.5
$603
0.60×
—
2.0000%
$12.06
6h
35
Randy Moss
2025 Panini Absolute · beckett 9.0
$603
0.60×
—
2.0000%
$12.06
7h
36
Maxx Crosby
2024 Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$601
0.60×
—
2.0000%
$12.02
8h
37
Joe Montana
2024 Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$588
0.59×
—
2.0000%
$11.76
—
38
Aaron Rodgers
2021 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$581
0.58×
—
2.0000%
$11.62
6h
39
Matthew Stafford
2023 Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$571
0.57×
—
2.0000%
$11.42
6h
40
Brian Dawkins
2021 Panini Donruss · psa 9.0
$568
0.57×
—
2.0000%
$11.35
6h
41
Sam Darnold
2018 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$558
0.56×
—
2.0000%
$11.15
8h
42
Justin Herbert
2021 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$552
0.55×
—
2.0000%
$11.05
—
43
Peyton Manning
2021 Panini Obsidian · psa 9.0
$552
0.55×
—
2.0000%
$11.04
8h
44
Roger Staubach/Drew Pearson
2024 Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$535
0.54×
—
2.0000%
$10.70
—
45
Joe Burrow
2025 Panini Phoenix · psa 10.0
$532
0.53×
—
2.0000%
$10.64
8h
46
Jameson Williams
2022 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$532
0.53×
—
2.0000%
$10.64
6h
47
Brian Dawkins
2021 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$528
0.53×
—
2.0000%
$10.57
7h
48
Adrian Peterson
2024 Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$525
0.53×
—
2.0000%
$10.51
9h
49
Jaylen Waddle
2021 Panini Absolute · psa 9.0
$523
0.52×
—
2.0000%
$10.46
6h
50
Matthew Golden
2025 Panini Donruss · psa 10.0
$490
0.49×
—
2.0000%
$9.80
10h
51
Joe Greene
2025 Panini Absolute · psa 9.0
$488
0.49×
—
2.0000%
$9.76
8h
52
Baker Mayfield
2021 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$447
0.45×
—
2.0000%
$8.93
8h
53
Warren Moon
2025 Panini Absolute · psa 9.0
$401
0.40×
—
2.0000%
$8.02
6h
Σ pool EV (Σ value × pull probability)
$831.50
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