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Case Hits Football Elite
Special Series $1000
Peak 7d
-14.2%
6h ago
% life +EV
0%
over last 63 polls
Max pull
22.3×
ceiling, this pool
EV trajectory · last 63 polls
Range: -20.3% to -14.2%
+EV crossings
≥2× pull
0.09%
fat-pull odds
≥10× pull
0.090%
grail odds
Median pull
$697
0.70× pack price, odds-weighted
CS Trigger
Pro only
How often does the 10%-extra-for-80%-floor insurance actually pay out on this pack? Estimates, not advice. You decide.
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Pool composition
24% of pulls are worth at least the $1000 pack (before fees).
Red = below break-even; green = above. The amber zone is where Collect Safe's 80% floor catches you.
Live activity
Every pull or add moves the EV
Card pool
Top cards by AC market value. Grail chips mark the top 0.1%; Chase marks the tier below. Trend tracks each card's value across every pack it's appeared in — its full history, not just its time in this pack — climbing or falling.
1
Tom Brady
Grail
2019 Panini Absolute · psa 9.0
$22,254
22.25×
—
0.0300%
$6.68
—
2
Peyton Manning
Grail
2025 Panini Absolute · beckett 9.5
$19,500
19.50×
—
0.0300%
$5.85
—
3
Patrick Mahomes II
Grail
2022 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$19,500
19.50×
—
0.0300%
$5.85
—
4
Troy Aikman
No Market Comps Found
2025 Panini Prizm Black · beckett 9.5
$1,952
1.95×
—
2.0000%
$39.05
6h
5
Josh Allen
2022 Panini Donruss · psa 10.0
$1,952
1.95×
—
2.0000%
$39.05
11h
6
Kurt Warner
2025 Panini Absolute · psa 10.0
$1,863
1.86×
—
2.0000%
$37.26
11h
7
Cooper DeJean
2025 Panini Absolute · psa 9.0
$1,490
1.49×
—
2.0000%
$29.80
3h
8
Bijan Robinson
2023 Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$1,426
1.43×
—
2.0000%
$28.52
7h
9
Ashton Jeanty
2025 Panini Absolute · psa 10.0
$1,360
1.36×
—
2.0000%
$27.20
7h
10
Larry Fitzgerald
2025 Panini Donruss · beckett 9.5
$1,350
1.35×
—
2.0000%
$27.00
8h
11
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
2023 Panini Donruss · psa 10.0
$1,210
1.21×
—
2.0000%
$24.20
8h
12
Jalen Hurts
2025 Panini Donruss · beckett 9.5
$1,185
1.19×
—
2.0000%
$23.70
6h
13
Bijan Robinson
2023 Panini Donruss · psa 10.0
$1,159
1.16×
—
2.0000%
$23.18
9h
14
Sam Darnold
2018 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$1,152
1.15×
—
2.0000%
$23.04
7h
15
Jalen Hurts
2020 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$1,124
1.12×
—
2.0000%
$22.49
9h
16
Drake Maye
2024 Donruss · psa 9.0
$945
0.95×
—
2.0000%
$18.90
2h
17
Jalen Hurts
2025 Panini Donruss · psa 10.0
$933
0.93×
—
2.0000%
$18.66
11h
18
T.J. Watt
2020 Panini Absolute · psa 9.0
$883
0.88×
—
2.0000%
$17.65
6h
19
Joe Burrow
2022 Panini Donruss · psa 9.0
$784
0.78×
—
2.0000%
$15.68
7h
20
Jalen Hurts
2023 Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$771
0.77×
—
2.0000%
$15.41
7h
21
Tyler Warren
2025 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$758
0.76×
—
2.0000%
$15.16
9h
22
Dak Prescott
2021 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$757
0.76×
—
2.0000%
$15.14
—
23
Joe Burrow
2023 Panini Donruss · psa 9.0
$732
0.73×
—
2.0000%
$14.63
6h
24
Josh Allen
2024 Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$730
0.73×
—
2.0000%
$14.60
—
25
TreVeyon Henderson
2025 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$719
0.72×
—
2.0000%
$14.39
21s
26
Bijan Robinson
2023 Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$708
0.71×
—
2.0000%
$14.16
11h
27
Jordan Love
2024 Panini Obsidian · psa 10.0
$703
0.70×
—
2.0000%
$14.06
6h
28
Quinshon Judkins/Shedeur Sanders
2025 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$697
0.70×
—
2.0000%
$13.95
6h
29
Joe Greene
2025 Panini Absolute · psa 10.0
$691
0.69×
—
2.0000%
$13.82
9h
30
Rob Gronkowski
2022 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$689
0.69×
—
2.0000%
$13.78
3h
31
Saquon Barkley
2025 Panini Donruss · psa 10.0
$670
0.67×
—
2.0000%
$13.41
—
32
Matthew Stafford
2023 Panini Absolute · psa 9.0
$661
0.66×
—
2.0000%
$13.23
21s
33
Jalen Hurts
2023 Panini Absolute · psa 9.0
$653
0.65×
—
2.0000%
$13.06
—
34
Baker Mayfield
2021 Panini Donruss · psa 10.0
$644
0.64×
—
2.0000%
$12.88
9h
35
Jason Kelce
2025 Panini Absolute · psa 9.0
$639
0.64×
—
2.0000%
$12.79
10h
36
Aaron Rodgers
2022 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$625
0.63×
—
2.0000%
$12.51
6h
37
Reggie Wayne
2023 Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$622
0.62×
—
2.0000%
$12.44
6m 21s
38
Malik Nabers
2024 Donruss · psa 10.0
$609
0.61×
—
2.0000%
$12.18
7h
39
Baker Mayfield
2018 Panini Donruss Optic · beckett 9.5
$603
0.60×
—
2.0000%
$12.06
7h
40
Randy Moss
2025 Panini Absolute · beckett 9.0
$603
0.60×
—
2.0000%
$12.06
8h
41
Aaron Rodgers
2021 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$581
0.58×
—
2.0000%
$11.62
7h
42
Brian Dawkins
2021 Panini Donruss · psa 9.0
$568
0.57×
—
2.0000%
$11.35
7h
43
Sam Darnold
2018 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$558
0.56×
—
2.0000%
$11.15
8h
44
Justin Herbert
2021 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$552
0.55×
—
2.0000%
$11.05
—
45
Peyton Manning
2021 Panini Obsidian · psa 9.0
$552
0.55×
—
2.0000%
$11.04
9h
46
Roger Staubach/Drew Pearson
2024 Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$535
0.54×
—
2.0000%
$10.70
—
47
Brian Dawkins
2021 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$528
0.53×
—
2.0000%
$10.57
8h
48
Adrian Peterson
2024 Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$525
0.53×
—
2.0000%
$10.51
12m 21s
49
Jaylen Waddle
2021 Panini Absolute · psa 9.0
$523
0.52×
—
2.0000%
$10.46
7h
50
Joe Burrow
2025 Panini Phoenix · psa 10.0
$499
0.50×
—
2.0000%
$9.98
9h
51
Jameson Williams
2022 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$499
0.50×
—
2.0000%
$9.98
7h
52
Joe Burrow
2025 Panini Mosaic · psa 10.0
$492
0.49×
—
2.0000%
$9.83
3h
53
Matthew Golden
2025 Panini Donruss · psa 10.0
$490
0.49×
—
2.0000%
$9.80
11h
Σ pool EV (Σ value × pull probability)
$857.49
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