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Basketball

Legendary $2500 WARM
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EV
-18.7%
Snapshot from 6h ago · public view delayed 6h · Sign up free for the 1-hour view →
Peak 7d
-14.8%
9h ago
% life +EV
0%
over last 500 polls
Max pull
13.7×
ceiling, this pool
EV trajectory · last 500 polls
Range: -22.6% to -14.8%
+EV crossings
break-even
≥2× pull
0.56%
fat-pull odds
≥10× pull
0.040%
grail odds
Median pull
$1,974
0.79× pack price, odds-weighted
CS Trigger
Pro only
How often does the 10%-extra-for-80%-floor insurance actually pay out on this pack? Estimates, not advice. You decide.
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Pool composition
You're underwater on 78% of pulls — most cards here are worth less than the $2500 pack. Red = below break-even; green = above. The amber zone is where Collect Safe's 80% floor catches you.
Basketball · Legendary · $2500 ≤0.05× pack price — 0.00% chance ≤0.05 0% .05-.1× pack price — 0.00% chance .05-.1 0% .1-.2× pack price — 0.00% chance .1-.2 0% .2-.35× pack price — 5.88% chance .2-.35 6% .35-.55× pack price — 11.76% chance .35-.55 12% .55-.75× pack price — 25.48% chance .55-.75 25% .75-.9× pack price — 21.56% chance .75-.9 22% .9-1× pack price — 13.72% chance .9-1 14% 1-1.25× pack price — 14.16% chance 1-1.25 14% 1.25-1.75× pack price — 6.54% chance 1.25-1.75 7% 1.75-2.5× pack price — 0.220% chance 1.75-2.5 0% 2.5-4× pack price — 0.440% chance 2.5-4 0% 4-7× pack price — 0.040% chance 4-7 <0.1% 7-12× pack price — 0.040% chance 7-12 <0.1% 12-25× pack price — 0.040% chance 12-25 <0.1% >25× pack price — 0.00% chance >25 0% Collect Safe floor · 0.889× break-even · 1.00× grail zone · up to 14× as of Sep 29, 2026 · 6:14 PM PT shouldirip.com
Live activity
Every pull or add moves the EV
↓
Michael Jordan · 1994-95 Skybox E-Motion · PSA 9 pulled
1h ago
$1,648
↑
LeBron James · 2025-26 Topps Chrome · PSA 9 added
1h ago
$1,593
↓
Yao Ming · 2023-24 Panini One and One · PSA 10 pulled
3h ago
$2,554
↑
Michael Jordan · 1994-95 Skybox E-Motion · PSA 9 added
3h ago
$1,648
Live activity is Pro
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Card pool

Top cards by AC market value. Grail chips mark the top 0.1%; Chase marks the tier below. Trend tracks each card's value across every pack it's appeared in — its full history, not just its time in this pack — climbing or falling.

61 cards · sorted by value ▼
1
Luka Doncic Grail
2018-19 Panini Crown Royale · psa 10.0
$34,306
13.72×
0.0400%
$13.72
8d
2
Kobe Bryant Grail Pop 1
2016-17 Panini Select · psa 9.0
$23,071
9.23×
0.0400%
$9.23
5d
3
Anthony Edwards Grail
2020-21 Panini Contenders · beckett 9.5
$11,900
4.76×
0.0400%
$4.76
5d
4
LeBron James Chase
2024-25 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$9,716
3.89×
0.2200%
$21.38
—
5
Victor Wembanyama Chase
2025-26 Topps Chrome · psa 10.0
$6,999
2.80×
0.2200%
$15.40
5d
6
Vince Carter Chase
2020-21 Panini Crown Royale · psa 10.0
$4,857
1.94×
0.2200%
$10.69
8d
7
Lebron James Chase
2024-25 Panini One and One · beckett 9.5
$3,665
1.47×
0.2200%
$8.06
8d
8
Kobe Bryant
1997-98 Topps Chrome · psa 9.0
$3,665
1.47×
—
1.9600%
$71.84
8h
9
Allen Iverson Chase No Market Comps Found
2014-15 Panini Excalibur · beckett 9.0
$3,665
1.47×
—
0.2200%
$8.06
—
10
Giannis Antetokounmpo Chase 1 of 1
2024-25 Panini Prizm · beckett 8.0
$3,500
1.40×
—
0.2200%
$7.70
15d
11
Victor Wembanyama
2025-26 Topps Chrome · psa 10.0
$3,445
1.38×
—
1.9600%
$67.52
3d
12
Luka Doncic
2023-24 Panini One and One · psa 10.0
$3,375
1.35×
—
1.9600%
$66.15
10h
13
Luka Doncic Chase
2022-23 Panini Crown Royale · psa 10.0
$3,048
1.22×
—
0.2200%
$6.71
23d
14
Shaquille O'Neal
1993-94 Fleer Ultra · psa 9.0
$3,031
1.21×
—
1.9600%
$59.41
1d
15
Victor Wembanyama Chase
2023-24 Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$2,995
1.20×
—
0.2200%
$6.59
8d
16
Shaquille O'neal
1998-99 Topps · psa 9.0
$2,750
1.10×
—
1.9600%
$53.90
2d
17
Nikola Jokic
2023-24 Panini One and One · psa 10.0
$2,716
1.09×
—
1.9600%
$53.23
3d
18
Kobe Bryant
1996-97 Stadium Club Members Only 55 · psa 10.0
$2,650
1.06×
—
1.9600%
$51.95
8h
19
Michael Jordan
1992-93 Topps Stadium Club · beckett 9.0
$2,640
1.06×
—
1.9600%
$51.74
7h
20
Michael Jordan
1992-93 Topps Stadium Club · beckett 9.0
$2,640
1.06×
—
1.9600%
$51.74
13h
21
Yao Ming
2023-24 Panini One and One · psa 10.0
$2,554
1.02×
—
1.9600%
$50.05
4d
22
Nikola Jokic
2025-26 Finest · psa 10.0
$2,481
0.99×
—
1.9600%
$48.63
9h
23
Shaquille O'Neal
1997-98 Metal Universe · psa 9.0
$2,457
0.98×
—
1.9600%
$48.16
4d
24
Victor Wembanyama
2023-24 Topps Royalty · psa 8.0
$2,449
0.98×
—
1.9600%
$48.00
9h
25
Michael Jordan
1990-91 Fleer · psa 10.0
$2,416
0.97×
—
1.9600%
$47.35
12h
26
Kobe Bryant
1996-97 Skybox Premium · psa 10.0
$2,288
0.92×
—
1.9600%
$44.85
1d
27
Kobe Bryant
2007-08 Topps Chrome · psa 9.0
$2,281
0.91×
—
1.9600%
$44.70
1d
28
Michael Jordan
1996-97 Skybox E-X2000 · psa 9.0
$2,280
0.91×
—
1.9600%
$44.69
1d
29
Stephen Curry
2023-24 Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$2,227
0.89×
—
1.9600%
$43.64
1d
30
Michael Jordan
1996-97 Stadium Club · psa 8.0
$2,154
0.86×
—
1.9600%
$42.22
4d
31
Michael Jordan
1997-98 Skybox Premium · psa 10.0
$2,093
0.84×
—
1.9600%
$41.02
5d
32
Michael Jordan
1996-97 Topps Chrome · psa 9.0
$2,076
0.83×
—
1.9600%
$40.68
1d
33
Kobe Bryant
1996-97 Skybox Premium · psa 10.0
$2,030
0.81×
—
1.9600%
$39.80
4d
34
Michael Jordan
1996-97 Skybox E-X2000 · psa 9.0
$2,024
0.81×
—
1.9600%
$39.67
12h
35
Jalen Brunson
2024-25 Panini Prizm Black · psa 10.0
$1,996
0.80×
—
1.9600%
$39.13
2d
36
Nikola Jokic
2015-16 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$1,974
0.79×
—
1.9600%
$38.70
9h
37
Shaquille O'Neal
1992-93 Topps Stadium Club · psa 10.0
$1,958
0.78×
—
1.9600%
$38.38
10h
38
Michael Jordan
1996-97 Topps · psa 9.0
$1,942
0.78×
—
1.9600%
$38.07
9h
39
Kobe Bryant
2012-13 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$1,918
0.77×
—
1.9600%
$37.60
9h
40
LeBron James
2004-05 Topps Chrome · psa 8.0
$1,779
0.71×
—
1.9600%
$34.86
10h
41
Stephen Curry
2024-25 Panini Prizm Black · psa 9.0
$1,747
0.70×
—
1.9600%
$34.24
1d
42
Luka Doncic
2018-19 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$1,740
0.70×
—
1.9600%
$34.09
1d
43
Kobe Bryant
1997-98 Metal Universe · psa 9.0
$1,711
0.68×
—
1.9600%
$33.53
1d
44
Giannis Antetokounmpo
2024-25 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$1,708
0.68×
—
1.9600%
$33.48
1d
45
Michael Jordan
1992-93 Upper Deck · psa 10.0
$1,668
0.67×
—
1.9600%
$32.70
1d
46
Anthony Davis
2024-25 Panini Revolution · psa 10.0
$1,593
0.64×
—
1.9600%
$31.22
4d
47
Luka Doncic
2018-19 Panini Donruss · psa 10.0
$1,592
0.64×
—
1.9600%
$31.20
3d
48
Kobe Bryant
1996-97 Topps · psa 8.0
$1,557
0.62×
—
1.9600%
$30.52
3d
49
Michael Jordan
1999-00 Upper Deck · psa 10.0
$1,542
0.62×
—
1.9600%
$30.23
8h
50
Giannis Antetokounmpo
2013-14 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$1,434
0.57×
—
1.9600%
$28.11
5d
51
Michael Jordan
1996-97 Topps Finest · psa 9.0
$1,428
0.57×
—
1.9600%
$27.98
2d
52
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
2018-19 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$1,425
0.57×
—
1.9600%
$27.94
10h
53
Giannis Antetokounmpo
2024-25 Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$1,329
0.53×
—
1.9600%
$26.05
1d
54
Kobe Bryant
1996-97 Upper Deck Collector's Choice Los Angeles Lakers · beckett 10.0
$1,200
0.48×
—
1.9600%
$23.52
3d
55
Michael Jordan
1997-98 Metal Universe Championship · psa 9.0
$1,196
0.48×
—
1.9600%
$23.44
9h
56
Stephen Curry
2010-11 Panini Gold Standard · beckett 9.0
$1,000
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$19.60
8h
57
Kevin Garnett 1 of 1
2025-26 Topps Chrome Cosmic · psa 10.0
$1,000
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$19.60
1d
58
Anthony Edwards/Kevin Garnett No Market Comps Found
2024-25 Panini Prizm Black · psa 9.0
$1,000
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$19.60
3d
59
LeBron James Pop 1
2017-18 Panini Spectra · psa 9.0
$791
0.32×
—
1.9600%
$15.50
8h
60
LeBron James
2008-09 Topps Chrome · beckett 9.5
$515
0.21×
—
1.9600%
$10.10
5d
61
Kobe Bryant
1996-97 Skybox Premium · beckett 8.5
$507
0.20×
—
1.9600%
$9.93
4d
Σ   pool EV (Σ value × pull probability)
$2032.58
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