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Basketball

Bronze $25 WARM

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-29.7%

Snapshot from 6h ago · public view delayed 6h · Sign up free for the 1-hour view →

Peak 7d

-12.3%

1d ago

% life +EV

over last 500 polls

Max pull

42.0×

ceiling, this pool

EV trajectory · last 500 polls

Range: -38.1% to -12.3%

+EV crossings

≥2× pull

2.03%

fat-pull odds

≥10× pull

0.030%

grail odds

Median pull

$15

0.60× pack price, odds-weighted

CS Trigger

Pro only

How often does the 10%-extra-for-80%-floor insurance actually pay out on this pack? Estimates, not advice. You decide.

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Pool composition

You're underwater on 84% of pulls — most cards here are worth less than the $25 pack. Red = below break-even; green = above. The amber zone is where Collect Safe's 80% floor catches you.

Live activity

Every pull or add moves the EV

↓

Michael Jordan · 1991-92 Upper Deck · PSA 8 pulled

3m 35s ago

$28

↓

Bol Bol · 2019-20 Panini Select · PSA 10 pulled

3m 35s ago

↑

Troy Brown Jr. · 2018-19 Panini Prizm · PSA 9 added

3m 35s ago

$12

↑

Larry Johnson · 1991-92 Upper Deck · PSA 9 added

3m 35s ago

$16

Live activity is Pro

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Card pool

Top cards by AC market value. Grail chips mark the top 0.1%; Chase marks the tier below. Trend tracks each card's value across every pack it's appeared in — its full history, not just its time in this pack — climbing or falling.

61 cards · sorted by value ▼

Card · Set

Value ▼

V/P

Trend

Pull P

EV ctrb

Added

Stephen Curry Grail

2025-26 Bowman · psa 9.0

$1,049

41.96×

—

0.0100%

$0.10

13d

Kobe Bryant Grail

1997-98 Skybox Z-Force · psa 10.0

$891

35.64×

—

0.0100%

$0.09

Anthony Edwards Grail

2023-24 Panini Select · psa 9.0

$700

28.00×

—

0.0100%

$0.07

21h

Victor Wembanyama Chase

2023-24 Panini Instant NBA · psa 10.0

$109

4.36×

—

0.2500%

$0.27

Jayson Tatum Chase

2017-18 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 10.0

$98

3.92×

—

0.2500%

$0.24

Jalen Johnson Chase

2025-26 Topps Living · psa 10.0

$87

3.48×

—

0.2500%

$0.22

Cade Cunningham Chase

2021-22 Panini Revolution · psa 10.0

$78

3.12×

—

0.2500%

$0.20

11h

Tim Duncan Chase

1997-98 Topps Finest · psa 9.0

$77

3.10×

—

0.2500%

$0.19

James Harden Chase

2009-10 Topps · psa 9.0

$73

2.92×

—

0.2500%

$0.18

Michael Jordan Chase No Market Comps Found

1990-91 Panini Stickers · beckett 8.5

$73

2.92×

—

0.2500%

$0.18

13h

Jaylen Brown Chase

2016-17 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 9.0

$62

2.48×

—

0.2500%

$0.15

Ausar Thompson

2023-24 Panini Mosaic · psa 10.0

$34

1.36×

—

1.9600%

$0.67

Steph Curry

2024 Topps Now Olympics · beckett 9.5

$34

1.36×

—

1.9600%

$0.67

Jason Kidd

1997-98 Topps Finest · psa 10.0

$33

1.32×

—

1.9600%

$0.65

Anthony Davis

2012-13 Panini Past & Present · psa 10.0

$30

1.20×

—

1.9600%

$0.59

Donovan Mitchell

2017-18 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0

$27

1.07×

—

1.9600%

$0.53

Jalen Green

2021-22 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0

$27

1.07×

—

1.9600%

$0.53

Ace Bailey

2025-26 Topps Chrome · psa 9.0

$27

1.07×

—

1.9600%

$0.53

Kris Murray

2023-24 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0

$21

0.84×

—

1.9600%

$0.41

Zion Williamson

2019-20 Panini Select · psa 10.0

$21

0.83×

—

1.9600%

$0.41

Stephen Curry/LeBron James/Kevin Durant

2024 Topps Now Olympics · psa 8.0

$21

0.82×

—

1.9600%

$0.40

Jalen Williams

2022-23 Panini Select · beckett 9.5

$20

0.82×

—

1.9600%

$0.40

Ja Morant

2019-20 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 10.0

$20

0.82×

—

1.9600%

$0.40

Shaquille O'Neal

1992-93 Skybox · psa 8.0

$19

0.76×

—

1.9600%

$0.37

Steph Curry

2024 Topps Now Olympics · beckett 9.0

$18

0.74×

—

1.9600%

$0.36

OG Anunoby

2017-18 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 9.0

$18

0.74×

—

1.9600%

$0.36

Chet Holmgren

2022-23 Panini Donruss · psa 9.0

$17

0.70×

—

1.9600%

$0.34

Chet Holmgren

2022-23 Panini Donruss · psa 9.0

$17

0.70×

—

1.9600%

$0.34

LeBron James

2019-20 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0

$17

0.69×

—

1.9600%

$0.34

Magic Johnson No Market Comps Found

2024-25 Panini Prizm Black · beckett 8.0

$16

0.64×

—

1.9600%

$0.31

Dalton Knecht

2024-25 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0

$16

0.64×

—

1.9600%

$0.31

Zaccharie Risacher/Alex Sarr

2024-25 Topps Now · beckett 9.5

$16

0.64×

—

1.9600%

$0.31

Cooper Flagg

2025-26 Topps · psa 9.0

$16

0.64×

—

1.9600%

$0.31

Ja Morant

2019-20 Panini Select · psa 10.0

$15

0.61×

—

1.9600%

$0.30

Victor Oladipo

2013-14 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0

$15

0.60×

—

1.9600%

$0.30

Giannis Antetokounmpo

2018-19 Panini Prizm · psa 7.0

$15

0.60×

—

1.9600%

$0.29

Grayson Allen

2018-19 Panini NBA Hoops · psa 9.0

$15

0.60×

—

1.9600%

$0.29

Trae Young

2019-20 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0

$14

0.56×

—

1.9600%

$0.27

Chris Mullin

1991-92 NBA Hoops · psa 8.0

$14

0.55×

—

1.9600%

$0.27

Mike Bibby

1998-99 SP Authentic · psa 9.0

$13

0.52×

—

1.9600%

$0.26

Kristaps Porzingis

2015-16 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0

$13

0.52×

—

1.9600%

$0.25

Jaren Jackson Jr.

2018-19 Panini Donruss · psa 10.0

$13

0.52×

—

1.9600%

$0.25

VJ Edgecombe

2025-26 Topps · psa 9.0

$13

0.51×

—

1.9600%

$0.25

Evan Mobley

2021-22 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 9.0

$12

0.49×

—

1.9600%

$0.24

Zion Williamson

2019-20 Panini Hoops Premium Stock · psa 10.0

$12

0.48×

—

1.9600%

$0.24

Ace Bailey

2025-26 Topps · psa 8.0

$12

0.47×

—

1.9600%

$0.23

Rui Hachimura

2019-20 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0

$11

0.43×

—

1.9600%

$0.21

Collin Sexton

2018-19 Panini Chronicles · psa 9.0

$11

0.43×

—

1.9600%

$0.21

Scottie Pippen

1990-91 NBA Hoops · sgc 9.0

$10

0.40×

—

1.9600%

$0.20

Matisse Thybulle

2019-20 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0

$10

0.40×

—

1.9600%

$0.20

RJ Barrett

2019-20 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 9.0

$10

0.40×

—

1.9600%

$0.20

Marvin Bagley III

2018-19 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 8.0

$10

0.40×

—

1.9600%

$0.20

Brandin Podziemski

2023-24 Donruss Optic · psa 10.0

$10

0.40×

—

1.9600%

$0.20

Julius Randle Pop 1 No Market Comps Found

2022-23 Panini Mosaic · psa 10.0

$10

0.40×

—

1.9600%

$0.20

Keldon Johnson

2019-20 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0

$10

0.40×

—

1.9600%

$0.20

Brandon Clarke

2019-20 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0

0.36×

—

1.9600%

$0.17

Marvin Bagley III

2018-19 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0

0.35×

—

1.9600%

$0.17

John Collins

2017-18 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0

0.32×

—

1.9600%

$0.16

8m 35s

Nassir Little

2019-20 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0

0.32×

—

1.9600%

$0.16

Rui Hachimura

2019-20 Panini Mosaic · psa 8.0

0.32×

—

1.9600%

$0.16

Kendrick Nunn

2019-20 Panini Chronicles · psa 8.0

0.14×

—

1.9600%

$0.07

Σ pool EV (Σ value × pull probability)

$17.57

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