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Basketball

Bronze $25

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-34.2%

Snapshot from 6h ago · public view delayed 6h · Sign up free for the 1-hour view →

Peak 7d

-18.7%

1d ago

% life +EV

over last 500 polls

Max pull

4000.0×

ceiling, this pool

EV trajectory · last 500 polls

Range: -63.0% to -18.7%

+EV crossings

≥2× pull

2.11%

fat-pull odds

≥10× pull

0.030%

grail odds

Median pull

$10

0.40× pack price, odds-weighted

CS Trigger

Pro only

How often does the 10%-extra-for-80%-floor insurance actually pay out on this pack? Estimates, not advice. You decide.

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Pool composition

18% of pulls are worth at least the $25 pack (before fees). Red = below break-even; green = above. The amber zone is where Collect Safe's 80% floor catches you.

Live activity

Every pull or add moves the EV

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Live activity is Pro

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Card pool

Top cards by AC market value. Grail chips mark the top 0.1%; Chase marks the tier below. Trend tracks each card's value across every pack it's appeared in — its full history, not just its time in this pack — climbing or falling.

62 cards · sorted by value ▼

Card · Set

Value ▼

V/P

Trend

Pull P

EV ctrb

Added

Mickey Mantle Grail

1952 Topps · psa 2.0

$100,000

4000.00×

—

0.0000%

$0.05

14d

Nikola Jokic Grail

2021-22 Panini Select · psa 10.0

$907

36.28×

—

0.0100%

$0.09

Kobe Bryant Grail No Market Comps Found

2016-17 Panini Select · psa 9.0

$907

36.28×

—

0.0100%

$0.09

11d

Kobe Bryant Grail

1997-98 Skybox Z-Force · psa 10.0

$646

25.83×

—

0.0100%

$0.06

12d

Derik Queen Chase

2025-26 Topps · psa 10.0

$92

3.68×

—

0.2600%

$0.24

10h

Anthony Edwards Chase

2020-21 Panini Court Kings · psa 10.0

$92

3.66×

—

0.2600%

$0.24

Kobe Bryant Chase

2003-04 Upper Deck Rookie Exclusives · psa 9.0

$86

3.46×

—

0.2600%

$0.22

Jayson Tatum Chase

2017-18 Panini Status · psa 10.0

$81

3.26×

—

0.2600%

$0.21

Kobe Bryant Chase

2003-04 Topps · psa 9.0

$81

3.23×

—

0.2600%

$0.21

Michael Jordan Chase

1990-91 SkyBox · psa 9.0

$77

3.08×

—

0.2600%

$0.20

Michael Jordan Chase

1993-94 Topps Stadium Club · psa 9.0

$74

2.96×

—

0.2600%

$0.19

Cooper Flagg Chase

2025-26 Topps Match Attax · psa 10.0

$66

2.64×

—

0.2600%

$0.17

10h

Michael Jordan

1991-92 Skybox · psa 9.0

$43

1.73×

—

1.9600%

$0.85

Brandon Miller

2023-24 Panini Select · psa 10.0

$37

1.48×

—

1.9600%

$0.73

Amen Thompson

2023-24 Panini Haunted Hoops · psa 10.0

$31

1.25×

—

1.9600%

$0.61

Bub Carrington

2024-25 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0

$29

1.16×

—

1.9600%

$0.57

Jalen Johnson

2021-22 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0

$28

1.11×

—

1.9600%

$0.54

Antawn Jamison

1998-99 Fleer Ultra · psa 9.0

$26

1.04×

—

1.9600%

$0.51

Cooper Flagg

2025-26 Topps · psa 9.0

$26

1.03×

—

1.9600%

$0.50

Rui Hachimura

2019-20 Panini Chronicles · psa 10.0

$26

1.02×

—

1.9600%

$0.50

Kon Knueppel

2025-26 Hoops · psa 9.0

$23

0.92×

—

1.9600%

$0.45

Jordan Poole

2019-20 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0

$22

0.88×

—

1.9600%

$0.43

Michael Porter Jr.

2018-19 Panini Chronicles · psa 10.0

$21

0.84×

—

1.9600%

$0.41

Chris Webber

1993-94 Topps · psa 9.0

$21

0.83×

—

1.9600%

$0.41

Michael Jordan

1992-93 Upper Deck · psa 6.0

$19

0.78×

—

1.9600%

$0.38

Devin Booker

2020-21 Panini Illusions · psa 9.0

$19

0.76×

—

1.9600%

$0.37

Jalen Green

2021-22 Panini Mosaic · psa 9.0

$19

0.76×

—

1.9600%

$0.37

Scottie Barnes

2021-22 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0

$17

0.68×

—

1.9600%

$0.33

Michael Jordan

1991-92 Fleer · psa 7.0

$16

0.63×

—

1.9600%

$0.31

Bub Carrington

2024-25 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0

$15

0.62×

—

1.9600%

$0.30

Grant Hill

1994-95 Flair · psa 9.0

$15

0.60×

—

1.9600%

$0.29

Bradley Beal

2018-19 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0

$15

0.60×

—

1.9600%

$0.29

Cooper Flagg

2025-26 Topps · psa 8.0

$15

0.60×

—

1.9600%

$0.29

Dalton Knecht

2024-25 Panini Select · psa 9.0

$12

0.48×

—

1.9600%

$0.24

Aaron Holiday

2018-19 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0

$11

0.44×

—

1.9600%

$0.22

Charles Smith

1989-90 Fleer · psa 9.0

$11

0.44×

—

1.9600%

$0.22

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

2018-19 Panini NBA Hoops · arena_club 9.0

$10

0.40×

—

1.9600%

$0.20

Pacome Dadiet

2024-25 Panini Select · psa 10.0

$10

0.40×

—

1.9600%

$0.20

Kon Knueppel

2025-26 Topps Living · psa 9.0

$10

0.40×

—

1.9600%

$0.20

Latrell Sprewell

1992-93 Topps · psa 9.0

$10

0.40×

—

1.9600%

$0.20

Terance Mann

2019-20 Panini Prizm · sgc 9.5

$10

0.40×

—

1.9600%

$0.20

Carsen Edwards

2019-20 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 10.0

$10

0.40×

—

1.9600%

$0.20

Jaxson Hayes

2019-20 Panini Select · psa 10.0

$10

0.40×

—

1.9600%

$0.20

Jarrett Culver

2019-20 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0

$10

0.40×

—

1.9600%

$0.20

Anthony Edwards

2020-21 Panini Chronicles · psa 9.0

$10

0.40×

—

1.9600%

$0.20

Jalen Suggs

2021-22 Panini Chronicles Draft Picks · psa 10.0

$10

0.40×

—

1.9600%

$0.20

Michael Jordan

1998 Upper Deck MJ Sticker Collection International · psa 7.0

$10

0.40×

—

1.9600%

$0.20

Chris Livingston

2023-24 Topps Chrome · psa 9.0

$10

0.40×

—

1.9600%

$0.20

Killian Hayes

2020-21 Panini Prizm · sgc 10.0

$10

0.40×

—

1.9600%

$0.20

Kawhi Leonard Pop 1

2024-25 Panini Select · psa 9.0

$10

0.40×

—

1.9600%

$0.20

Austin Reaves

2024-25 Panini Select · arena_club 8.5

$10

0.40×

—

1.9600%

$0.20

Robert Horry

1992-93 NBA Hoops · psa 9.0

$10

0.40×

—

1.9600%

$0.20

Bennedict Mathurin

2022-23 Panini Spectra · psa 10.0

$10

0.40×

—

1.9600%

$0.20

Michael Jordan

1997-98 Upper Deck Collector's Choice · psa 9.0

$10

0.40×

—

1.9600%

$0.20

Steve Francis

2023-24 Panini Immaculate Collection · arena_club 8.5

$10

0.40×

—

1.9600%

$0.20

Ausar Thompson

2024-25 Donruss Optic · arena_club 10.0

$10

0.40×

—

1.9600%

$0.20

LeBron James

2019-20 Panini Mosaic · arena_club 10.0

0.25×

—

1.9600%

$0.12

Luka Samanic

2019-20 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0

0.20×

—

1.9600%

$0.10

Evan Mobley

2021-22 Panini Donruss Optic · arena_club 10.0

0.18×

—

1.9600%

$0.09

Stephen Curry

2024-25 Panini Donruss · arena_club 9.5

0.08×

—

1.9600%

$0.04

Dylan Harper

2025-26 Topps · arena_club 9.5

0.07×

—

1.9600%

$0.04

LeBron James

2021-22 Panini Chronicles · arena_club 9.5

0.06×

—

1.9600%

$0.03

Σ pool EV (Σ value × pull probability)

$16.45

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