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Basketball
Ruby $250 WARM
Peak 7d
-4.5%
1d ago
% life +EV
0%
over last 500 polls
Max pull
48.3×
ceiling, this pool
EV trajectory · last 500 polls
Range: -23.3% to -4.5%
+EV crossings
≥2× pull
1.77%
fat-pull odds
≥10× pull
0.090%
grail odds
Median pull
$186
0.74× pack price, odds-weighted
CS Trigger
Pro only
How often does the 10%-extra-for-80%-floor insurance actually pay out on this pack? Estimates, not advice. You decide.
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Pool composition
You're underwater on 86% of pulls — most cards here are worth less than the $250 pack.
Red = below break-even; green = above. The amber zone is where Collect Safe's 80% floor catches you.
Live activity
Every pull or add moves the EV
Card pool
Top cards by AC market value. Grail chips mark the top 0.1%; Chase marks the tier below. Trend tracks each card's value across every pack it's appeared in — its full history, not just its time in this pack — climbing or falling.
1
Luka Doncic
Grail
No Market Comps Found
2025-26 Bowman · beckett 9.5
$12,068
48.27×
0.0300%
$3.62
16d
2
Stephen Curry
Grail
2018 Panini Kaboom Rewards Multi-Sport · psa 9.0
$12,068
48.27×
0.0300%
$3.62
22h
3
Anthony Edwards
Grail
No Market Comps Found
2024-25 Panini National Treasures · psa 9.0
$6,699
26.80×
0.0300%
$2.01
2d
4
Derrick Rose
Chase
2024-25 Panini Revolution · psa 9.0
$904
3.62×
0.2400%
$2.17
1d
5
Cooper Flagg
Chase
2025-26 Topps Chrome · psa 10.0
$859
3.44×
0.2400%
$2.06
3d
6
Kobe Bryant
Chase
1999-00 Upper Deck Encore · psa 9.0
$847
3.39×
0.2400%
$2.03
1d
7
Michael Jordan
Chase
1997-98 Upper Deck UD3 · psa 10.0
$833
3.33×
0.2400%
$2.00
1d
8
Michael Jordan
Chase
1997-98 Topps Finest · psa 10.0
$773
3.09×
—
0.2400%
$1.86
21h
9
Michael Jordan
Chase
1997-98 Metal Universe · psa 8.0
$573
2.29×
—
0.2400%
$1.37
1d
10
Bam Adebayo
Chase
2017-18 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$522
2.09×
—
0.2400%
$1.25
15h
11
Brandon Miller
2023-24 Panini Select · psa 9.0
$432
1.73×
—
1.9600%
$8.47
12h
12
LeBron James
2003-04 Upper Deck LeBron James · psa 10.0
$408
1.63×
—
1.9600%
$8.00
10h
13
Michael Jordan
1996-97 Topps · psa 10.0
$381
1.53×
—
1.9600%
$7.48
6h
14
Julius Erving
Chase
2018-19 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$378
1.51×
—
0.2400%
$0.91
4d
15
Tim Duncan
1997-98 Metal Universe · psa 9.0
$337
1.35×
—
1.9600%
$6.61
7h
16
Stephen Curry/LeBron James/Kevin Durant
2024 Topps Now Olympics · psa 10.0
$281
1.12×
—
1.9600%
$5.51
6h
17
Dylan Harper
2025-26 Topps Chrome · psa 10.0
$250
1.00×
—
1.9600%
$4.90
18h
18
Michael Jordan
1996-97 Bowman’s Best · psa 9.0
$244
0.98×
—
1.9600%
$4.78
7h
19
Kobe Bryant
1999-00 Topps Chrome · psa 9.0
$244
0.97×
—
1.9600%
$4.78
7h
20
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
2024-25 Panini Mosaic · psa 10.0
$242
0.97×
—
1.9600%
$4.74
7h
21
Michael Jordan
1991-92 Skybox · psa 10.0
$235
0.94×
—
1.9600%
$4.60
7h
22
Kobe Bryant
2004-05 Fleer Tradition · psa 10.0
$234
0.94×
—
1.9600%
$4.59
6h
23
Michael Jordan
2009-10 Upper Deck Michael Jordan Legacy Collection Hall of Fame Edition · psa 10.0
$233
0.93×
—
1.9600%
$4.57
7h
24
Michael Jordan
1991-92 Skybox · psa 10.0
$230
0.92×
—
1.9600%
$4.51
9h
25
Michael Jordan
1998-99 Upper Deck Ionix · psa 9.0
$230
0.92×
—
1.9600%
$4.50
7h
26
Michael Jordan
1995-96 Fleer · psa 9.0
$227
0.91×
—
1.9600%
$4.44
7h
27
Michael Jordan
1998 Upper Deck MJx · psa 10.0
$225
0.90×
—
1.9600%
$4.42
9h
28
Michael Jordan
1991-92 Upper Deck · psa 9.0
$225
0.90×
—
1.9600%
$4.41
6h
29
Tyler Herro
2023-24 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$219
0.88×
—
1.9600%
$4.29
7h
30
Michael Jordan
1995-96 Fleer Metal · psa 7.0
$217
0.87×
—
1.9600%
$4.25
12h
31
Tyrese Maxey
2020-21 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$215
0.86×
—
1.9600%
$4.21
7h
32
Dwyane Wade
Pop 1
2021-22 Panini Mosaic · psa 8.0
$196
0.78×
—
1.9600%
$3.84
6h
33
Nikola Jokic
2016-17 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$196
0.78×
—
1.9600%
$3.84
4h
34
Michael Jordan
1997-98 Bowman's Best · psa 8.0
$195
0.78×
—
1.9600%
$3.82
9h
35
Kobe Bryant
1997-98 Skybox Z-Force · psa 9.0
$193
0.77×
—
1.9600%
$3.78
7h
36
Giannis Antetokounmpo
2013-14 Panini Prestige · psa 10.0
$186
0.74×
—
1.9600%
$3.65
1h
37
Kobe Bryant
1998-99 Topps · psa 8.0
$184
0.74×
—
1.9600%
$3.61
10h
38
Kobe Bryant
2003-04 SP Authentic · psa 10.0
$178
0.71×
—
1.9600%
$3.48
6h
39
Michael Jordan
1997-98 Topps Finest · psa 9.0
$177
0.71×
—
1.9600%
$3.46
6h
40
Victor Wembanyama
2023-24 Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$173
0.69×
—
1.9600%
$3.39
7h
41
Kobe Bryant
1996-97 Skybox Z-Force · psa 8.0
$167
0.67×
—
1.9600%
$3.27
7h
42
Victor Wembanyama
2023-24 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$162
0.65×
—
1.9600%
$3.18
8h
43
Ajay Mitchell
2025-26 Finest · psa 10.0
$151
0.60×
—
1.9600%
$2.96
7h
44
LeBron James
2005-06 Bowman · psa 9.0
$147
0.59×
—
1.9600%
$2.88
11h
45
Kobe Bryant
2019-20 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$134
0.54×
—
1.9600%
$2.63
7h
46
Stephen Curry
2025-26 Topps · psa 10.0
$132
0.53×
—
1.9600%
$2.59
2h
47
Nickeil Alexander-Walker
2019-20 Panini Mosaic · psa 10.0
$131
0.53×
—
1.9600%
$2.58
6h
48
Larry Bird
1990-91 Fleer · psa 10.0
$130
0.52×
—
1.9600%
$2.54
7h
49
LaSalle Thompson
1986-87 Fleer · psa 8.0
$128
0.51×
—
1.9600%
$2.52
2h
50
Anthony Edwards
2020-21 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$128
0.51×
—
1.9600%
$2.52
3h
51
Kobe Bryant
2012-13 Panini Kobe Anthology · psa 10.0
$117
0.47×
—
1.9600%
$2.29
6h
52
Luka Doncic
2018-19 Panini Revolution · psa 10.0
$114
0.46×
—
1.9600%
$2.24
8h
53
Michael Jordan
No Market Comps Found
1998-99 Upper Deck Ionix · psa 9.0
$100
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$1.96
8h
54
Tracy McGrady
No Market Comps Found
2020-21 Panini Mosaic · psa 9.0
$100
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$1.96
10h
55
Carmelo Anthony
Pop 1
No Market Comps Found
2025-26 Topps · psa 9.0
$100
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$1.96
7h
56
Dylan Harper
2025-26 Topps Chrome · beckett 9.0
$100
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$1.96
6h
57
Stephen Curry
2024-25 Panini NBA Hoops · psa 10.0
$95
0.38×
—
1.9600%
$1.86
7h
58
Stephen Curry
2014-15 Panini Select · psa 9.0
$81
0.32×
—
1.9600%
$1.59
11h
59
Stephon Castle
2024-25 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$79
0.32×
—
1.9600%
$1.55
8h
60
Stephen Curry
2019-20 Panini Contenders Optic · psa 10.0
$77
0.31×
—
1.9600%
$1.51
9h
61
Michael Jordan
1991-92 Upper Deck · beckett 9.5
$74
0.29×
—
1.9600%
$1.44
6h
Σ pool EV (Σ value × pull probability)
$207.79
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From the blog
- Ruby Basketball Hit +9% EV Peak in a 2½-Hour Window Aug 24, 2026 · 10:46 PM PT