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Basketball
Emerald $500
Peak 7d
-11.9%
6h ago
% life +EV
0%
over last 500 polls
Max pull
200.0×
ceiling, this pool
EV trajectory · last 500 polls
Range: -23.2% to -11.9%
+EV crossings
≥2× pull
2.17%
fat-pull odds
≥10× pull
0.091%
grail odds
Median pull
$371
0.74× pack price, odds-weighted
CS Trigger
Pro only
How often does the 10%-extra-for-80%-floor insurance actually pay out on this pack? Estimates, not advice. You decide.
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Pool composition
28% of pulls are worth at least the $500 pack (before fees).
Red = below break-even; green = above. The amber zone is where Collect Safe's 80% floor catches you.
Live activity
Every pull or add moves the EV
Card pool
Top cards by AC market value. Grail chips mark the top 0.1%; Chase marks the tier below. Trend tracks each card's value across every pack it's appeared in — its full history, not just its time in this pack — climbing or falling.
1
Mickey Mantle
Grail
1952 Topps · psa 2.0
$100,000
200.00×
—
0.0010%
$1.00
14d
2
Anthony Edwards
Grail
2020-21 Panini Crown Royale · psa 10.0
$14,556
29.11×
—
0.0300%
$4.37
22d
3
Kobe Bryant
Grail
No Market Comps Found
2012-13 Panini Flawless · beckett 9.0
$14,556
29.11×
—
0.0300%
$4.37
23d
4
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
Grail
No Market Comps Found
2019-20 Panini Flawless · beckett 9.5
$14,556
29.11×
—
0.0300%
$4.37
1d
5
Nikola Jokic
Chase
2015-16 Panini Revolution · psa 10.0
$1,623
3.25×
—
0.2600%
$4.22
11h
6
Nikola Jokic
Chase
2024-25 Panini Revolution · psa 9.0
$1,546
3.09×
—
0.2600%
$4.02
10d
7
Kobe Bryant
Chase
1996-97 Skybox E-X2000 · psa 8.0
$1,440
2.88×
—
0.2600%
$3.75
2d
8
LaMelo Ball
Chase
2021-22 Crown Royale · psa 10.0
$1,342
2.68×
—
0.2600%
$3.49
3d
9
LeBron James
Chase
2004-05 Topps Chrome · psa 10.0
$1,339
2.68×
—
0.2600%
$3.48
2d
10
Stephon Castle
Chase
No Market Comps Found
2025-26 Bowman Sapphire Edition · psa 10.0
$1,339
2.68×
—
0.2600%
$3.48
5d
11
Stephen Curry
Chase
2024-25 Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$1,235
2.47×
—
0.2600%
$3.21
7d
12
Michael Jordan
Chase
1993-94 Topps Stadium Club · psa 9.0
$1,206
2.41×
—
0.2600%
$3.14
1d
13
Michael Jordan
1997-98 Topps Finest · psa 10.0
$869
1.74×
—
1.9600%
$17.04
8h
14
Giannis Antetokounmpo
2022-23 Panini Crown Royale · psa 9.0
$860
1.72×
—
1.9600%
$16.86
1d
15
Kobe Bryant
2018-19 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$772
1.54×
—
1.9600%
$15.13
6h
16
Kobe Bryant
1996-97 Stadium Club Members Only 55 · psa 9.0
$755
1.51×
—
1.9600%
$14.79
6h
17
Kobe Bryant
1997-98 Topps Finest · psa 10.0
$733
1.47×
—
1.9600%
$14.36
8h
18
Devin Booker
2018 Panini Kaboom Rewards Multi-Sport · psa 9.0
$713
1.43×
—
1.9600%
$13.97
8h
19
Stephen Curry
2012-13 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$612
1.22×
—
1.9600%
$12.00
8h
20
Anthony Edwards
2020-21 Panini Donruss · psa 10.0
$596
1.19×
—
1.9600%
$11.68
15h
21
Kobe Bryant
2008-09 Upper Deck SP Rookie Threads · psa 10.0
$568
1.14×
—
1.9600%
$11.13
8h
22
Jalen Green
2021-22 Crown Royale · psa 9.0
$561
1.12×
—
1.9600%
$11.00
8h
23
Michael Jordan
1994 Upper Deck Jordan Rare Air · psa 10.0
$552
1.10×
—
1.9600%
$10.82
8h
24
Jayson Tatum
2025-26 Topps Chrome · psa 10.0
$502
1.00×
—
1.9600%
$9.84
1d
25
Larry Bird
2022-23 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$502
1.00×
—
1.9600%
$9.84
8h
26
Michael Jordan
1995-96 NBA Hoops · psa 9.0
$465
0.93×
—
1.9600%
$9.12
8h
27
Rob Dillingham
2024-25 Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$458
0.92×
—
1.9600%
$8.98
8h
28
Luka Doncic
2018-19 Panini Prizm Mosaic · psa 9.0
$450
0.90×
—
1.9600%
$8.82
8h
29
Michael Jordan
1996-97 SPX · psa 9.0
$444
0.89×
—
1.9600%
$8.70
8h
30
Victor Wembanyama
2023-24 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$407
0.81×
—
1.9600%
$7.98
1d
31
Kobe Bryant
1997-98 Fleer Ultra · psa 9.0
$406
0.81×
—
1.9600%
$7.96
17h
32
Michael Jordan
1993-94 Topps Stadium Club · psa 10.0
$403
0.81×
—
1.9600%
$7.90
8h
33
Kobe Bryant
1996-97 Topps Finest · psa 9.0
$389
0.78×
—
1.9600%
$7.63
6h
34
Stephen Curry
2009-10 Upper Deck · psa 9.0
$387
0.77×
—
1.9600%
$7.59
8h
35
Michael Jordan
1997-98 Bowman's Best · psa 9.0
$383
0.77×
—
1.9600%
$7.51
8h
36
Kobe Bryant
1999-00 Topps Stadium Club · psa 10.0
$375
0.75×
—
1.9600%
$7.35
14h
37
Michael Jordan
2000-01 UD SPX · psa 9.0
$371
0.74×
—
1.9600%
$7.28
10h
38
Michael Jordan
1989-90 NBA Hoops · psa 10.0
$359
0.72×
—
1.9600%
$7.04
8h
39
Paolo Banchero
2022-23 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$358
0.72×
—
1.9600%
$7.02
6h
40
Victor Wembanyama
2023-24 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$350
0.70×
—
1.9600%
$6.86
17h
41
LeBron James
2006-07 Topps · psa 10.0
$348
0.70×
—
1.9600%
$6.82
21h
42
Kobe Bryant
1996-97 Topps · psa 9.0
$339
0.68×
—
1.9600%
$6.64
17h
43
Michael Jordan
1993-94 Upper Deck · psa 10.0
$338
0.68×
—
1.9600%
$6.63
9h
44
LaMelo Ball
2020-21 Panini Donruss · psa 10.0
$314
0.63×
—
1.9600%
$6.15
6h
45
Giannis Antetokounmpo
2023-24 Panini Mosaic · psa 10.0
$305
0.61×
—
1.9600%
$5.97
12h
46
Cooper Flagg
2025-26 Topps Chrome · psa 10.0
$296
0.59×
—
1.9600%
$5.79
8h
47
Kon Knueppel
2025-26 Finest · psa 10.0
$293
0.59×
—
1.9600%
$5.74
8h
48
Brandon Miller
2023-24 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$278
0.56×
—
1.9600%
$5.45
8h
49
Michael Jordan
1996-97 Fleer Metal · psa 9.0
$277
0.55×
—
1.9600%
$5.42
8h
50
Anthony Edwards
Pop 1
2021-22 Panini NBA Hoops · psa 9.0
$274
0.55×
—
1.9600%
$5.37
8h
51
Allen Iverson
1996-97 Topps · psa 10.0
$266
0.53×
—
1.9600%
$5.21
11h
52
Allen Iverson
1997-98 Metal Universe · psa 9.0
$265
0.53×
—
1.9600%
$5.19
1d
53
Luka Doncic
2018-19 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$260
0.52×
—
1.9600%
$5.10
1d
54
Kobe Bryant
1996-97 Fleer Ultra · beckett 9.0
$250
0.50×
—
1.9600%
$4.90
8h
55
Cooper Flagg
2025-26 Finest · psa 10.0
$239
0.48×
—
1.9600%
$4.68
19h
56
Kobe Bryant
1997-98 Skybox Z-Force · psa 8.0
$229
0.46×
—
1.9600%
$4.49
11h
57
Shaquille O'Neal
1992-93 Topps · psa 10.0
$226
0.45×
—
1.9600%
$4.44
8h
58
Victor Wembanyama
2024-25 Panini Mosaic · psa 10.0
$218
0.44×
—
1.9600%
$4.28
12h
59
RJ Barrett
2019-20 Panini Crown Royale · beckett 9.5
$200
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$3.92
8h
60
Kyrie Irving
2013-14 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$155
0.31×
—
1.9600%
$3.04
6h
61
Kobe Bryant
2000-01 Fleer Futures · psa 10.0
$125
0.25×
—
1.9600%
$2.45
8h
62
Stephen Curry
2014-15 Panini Select · psa 9.0
$81
0.16×
—
1.9600%
$1.59
11h
Σ pool EV (Σ value × pull probability)
$438.38
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