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Basketball
Gold $100 WARM
Peak 7d
-11.1%
19h ago
% life +EV
0%
over last 500 polls
Max pull
33.8×
ceiling, this pool
EV trajectory · last 500 polls
Range: -32.8% to -11.1%
+EV crossings
≥2× pull
2.06%
fat-pull odds
≥10× pull
0.060%
grail odds
Median pull
$60
0.60× pack price, odds-weighted
CS Trigger
Pro only
How often does the 10%-extra-for-80%-floor insurance actually pay out on this pack? Estimates, not advice. You decide.
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Pool composition
You're underwater on 86% of pulls — most cards here are worth less than the $100 pack.
Red = below break-even; green = above. The amber zone is where Collect Safe's 80% floor catches you.
Live activity
Every pull or add moves the EV
Card pool
Top cards by AC market value. Grail chips mark the top 0.1%; Chase marks the tier below. Trend tracks each card's value across every pack it's appeared in — its full history, not just its time in this pack — climbing or falling.
1
Cooper Flagg
Grail
2025-26 Bowman · psa 9.0
$3,382
33.82×
—
0.0200%
$0.68
13d
2
Jalen Brunson
Grail
2025-26 Topps · beckett 9.5
$3,000
30.00×
—
0.0200%
$0.60
10d
3
Anthony Edwards
Grail
2025-26 Topps Chrome · psa 10.0
$2,227
22.27×
—
0.0200%
$0.45
3d
4
Michael Jordan
Chase
1993-94 Fleer Ultra · psa 9.0
$325
3.25×
—
0.2500%
$0.81
6h
5
Kobe Bryant
Chase
2000-01 SP Game Floor · psa 9.0
$312
3.12×
—
0.2500%
$0.78
16h
6
John Stockton
Chase
1997-98 Topps Finest · psa 10.0
$303
3.03×
—
0.2500%
$0.76
1d
7
Kobe Bryant
Chase
2007-08 Topps Chrome · psa 9.0
$290
2.90×
—
0.2500%
$0.72
8h
8
Jalen Brunson
Chase
2025-26 Topps Chrome · psa 9.0
$270
2.70×
—
0.2500%
$0.68
17h
9
VJ Edgecombe
Chase
2025-26 Topps Chrome · psa 10.0
$261
2.61×
—
0.2500%
$0.65
1d
10
Desmond Bane
Chase
2020-21 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$250
2.50×
—
0.2500%
$0.62
8h
11
Michael Jordan
Chase
1997-98 Skybox Z-Force · psa 9.0
$241
2.41×
—
0.2500%
$0.60
16h
12
Michael Jordan
1996-97 Fleer · psa 8.0
$165
1.65×
—
1.9600%
$3.23
8h
13
Jayson Tatum
2025-26 Finest · psa 9.0
$156
1.56×
—
1.9600%
$3.06
6h
14
Tyrese Haliburton
2020-21 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$121
1.21×
—
1.9600%
$2.37
8h
15
Kel’el Ware
2024-25 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$118
1.18×
—
1.9600%
$2.31
6h
16
Dwyane Wade
2003-04 Topps Chrome · psa 9.0
$107
1.07×
—
1.9600%
$2.10
8h
17
Victor Wembanyama
2023-24 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$101
1.01×
—
1.9600%
$1.98
7h
18
Hakeem Olajuwon
1996-97 Topps Finest · psa 9.0
$100
1.00×
—
1.9600%
$1.96
6h
19
LeBron James
2019-20 Panini Hoops Premium Stock · psa 10.0
$97
0.97×
—
1.9600%
$1.90
7h
20
Luka Doncic
2018-19 Panini Chronicles · psa 10.0
$96
0.96×
—
1.9600%
$1.88
9h
21
Cooper Flagg
2025-26 Topps · psa 10.0
$94
0.94×
—
1.9600%
$1.84
6h
22
Cooper Flagg
2025-26 Topps · psa 10.0
$90
0.90×
—
1.9600%
$1.76
10h
23
Michael Jordan
1998-99 UD Choice Preview · psa 9.0
$80
0.80×
—
1.9600%
$1.57
7h
24
LeBron James
2022-23 Panini Mosaic · psa 9.0
$79
0.79×
—
1.9600%
$1.55
6h
25
VJ Edgecombe
2025-26 Topps Chrome · psa 9.0
$78
0.78×
—
1.9600%
$1.52
9h
26
Jayson Tatum
2020-21 Panini Mosaic · psa 10.0
$75
0.75×
—
1.9600%
$1.47
7h
27
Jeremiah Fears
2025-26 Topps Chrome Cactus Jack x NBA All-Star Game · psa 10.0
$73
0.73×
—
1.9600%
$1.44
6h
28
Tyrese Haliburton
2020-21 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$72
0.72×
—
1.9600%
$1.42
6h
29
Kobe Bryant
2002-03 Fleer Ultra · psa 8.0
$72
0.72×
—
1.9600%
$1.41
7h
30
Klay Thompson
2012-13 Panini Elite · beckett 9.0
$72
0.72×
—
1.9600%
$1.41
6h
31
Brandon Miller
2023-24 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$70
0.70×
—
1.9600%
$1.37
7h
32
Giannis Antetokounmpo
2023-24 Panini Obsidian · psa 10.0
$70
0.70×
—
1.9600%
$1.36
6h
33
Giannis Antetokounmpo
2013-14 Panini · psa 9.0
$67
0.67×
—
1.9600%
$1.31
6h
34
Michael Jordan
1991-92 NBA Hoops · psa 9.0
$64
0.64×
—
1.9600%
$1.25
7h
35
Jaylon Tyson
2024-25 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$62
0.62×
—
1.9600%
$1.22
8h
36
Shaquille O'Neal
1992-93 Upper Deck · beckett 8.5
$60
0.60×
—
1.9600%
$1.18
10h
37
Jalen Williams
2022-23 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$60
0.60×
—
1.9600%
$1.18
7h
38
GG Jackson II
2023-24 Panini Phoenix · psa 10.0
$59
0.59×
—
1.9600%
$1.16
8h
39
Dalton Knecht
2024-25 Panini Mosaic · psa 10.0
$58
0.58×
—
1.9600%
$1.14
6h
40
LaMelo Ball
2020-21 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$56
0.56×
—
1.9600%
$1.11
7h
41
Dylan Harper
2025-26 Topps Chrome · psa 9.0
$56
0.56×
—
1.9600%
$1.10
7h
42
Michael Jordan
1993-94 Fleer · psa 9.0
$54
0.54×
—
1.9600%
$1.07
6h
43
Allen Leavell
1986-87 Fleer · psa 8.0
$53
0.53×
—
1.9600%
$1.04
6h
44
Michael Jordan
1990-91 Fleer · psa 8.0
$53
0.53×
—
1.9600%
$1.04
8h
45
Luka Doncic
2018-19 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$52
0.52×
—
1.9600%
$1.02
10h
46
LeBron James
2023-24 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$49
0.49×
—
1.9600%
$0.96
6h
47
Victor Wembanyama
2023-24 Panini Prizm · psa 8.0
$49
0.49×
—
1.9600%
$0.96
6h
48
VJ Edgecombe
2025-26 Topps Chrome · psa 9.0
$49
0.49×
—
1.9600%
$0.96
6h
49
Shaquille O'Neal
1992-93 Topps · psa 9.0
$48
0.47×
—
1.9600%
$0.93
7h
50
LeBron James
2018-19 Panini Revolution · psa 10.0
$47
0.47×
—
1.9600%
$0.93
6h
51
Michael Jordan
1998-99 Upper Deck Century Legends · psa 9.0
$46
0.46×
—
1.9600%
$0.90
10h
52
Michael Jordan
1995-96 SP · psa 8.0
$45
0.45×
—
1.9600%
$0.88
12h
53
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
2018-19 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$43
0.43×
—
1.9600%
$0.84
11h
54
Kon Knueppel
2025-26 Topps Living · psa 10.0
$43
0.43×
—
1.9600%
$0.84
7h
55
Victor Wembanyama
2023-24 Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$43
0.43×
—
1.9600%
$0.84
6h
56
Anfernee Hardaway
1993-94 Fleer Ultra · psa 9.0
$42
0.42×
—
1.9600%
$0.82
7h
57
Jayson Tatum
2017-18 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$42
0.42×
—
1.9600%
$0.82
7h
58
Ja Morant
2023-24 Donruss Optic · beckett 9.5
$40
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.78
6h
59
Jalen Williams
2022-23 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$38
0.38×
—
1.9600%
$0.74
8h
60
Paolo Banchero
2022-23 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$36
0.36×
—
1.9600%
$0.71
8h
61
Karl-Anthony Towns
2015-16 Panini Select · beckett 9.0
$28
0.28×
—
1.9600%
$0.55
10h
Σ pool EV (Σ value × pull probability)
$74.53
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