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Basketball

Diamond $1000
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EV
-20.4%
Snapshot from 6h ago · public view delayed 6h · Sign up free for the 1-hour view →
Peak 7d
-9.4%
10h ago
% life +EV
0%
over last 500 polls
Max pull
100.0×
ceiling, this pool
EV trajectory · last 500 polls
Range: -25.5% to -9.4%
+EV crossings
break-even
≥2× pull
1.69%
fat-pull odds
≥10× pull
0.062%
grail odds
Median pull
$751
0.75× pack price, odds-weighted
CS Trigger
Pro only
How often does the 10%-extra-for-80%-floor insurance actually pay out on this pack? Estimates, not advice. You decide.
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Pool composition
15% of pulls are worth at least the $1000 pack (before fees). Red = below break-even; green = above. The amber zone is where Collect Safe's 80% floor catches you.
Basketball · Diamond · $1000 ≤0.05× pack price — 0.00% chance ≤0.05 0% .05-.1× pack price — 0.00% chance .05-.1 0% .1-.2× pack price — 0.00% chance .1-.2 0% .2-.35× pack price — 1.97% chance .2-.35 2% .35-.55× pack price — 15.76% chance .35-.55 16% .55-.75× pack price — 31.52% chance .55-.75 32% .75-.9× pack price — 23.64% chance .75-.9 24% .9-1× pack price — 11.82% chance .9-1 12% 1-1.25× pack price — 13.79% chance 1-1.25 14% 1.25-1.75× pack price — 0.00% chance 1.25-1.75 0% 1.75-2.5× pack price — 0.400% chance 1.75-2.5 0% 2.5-4× pack price — 1.00% chance 2.5-4 1% 4-7× pack price — 0.200% chance 4-7 0% 7-12× pack price — 0.030% chance 7-12 <0.1% 12-25× pack price — 0.060% chance 12-25 <0.1% >25× pack price — 0.002% chance >25 <0.1% Collect Safe floor · 0.889× break-even · 1.00× grail zone · up to 100× as of Nov 13, 2026 · 8:16 PM PST shouldirip.com
Live activity
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Card pool

Top cards by AC market value. Grail chips mark the top 0.1%; Chase marks the tier below. Trend tracks each card's value across every pack it's appeared in — its full history, not just its time in this pack — climbing or falling.

62 cards · sorted by value ▼
#
Card · Set
Value ▼
V/P
Trend
Pull P
EV ctrb
Added
1
Mickey Mantle Grail
1952 Topps · psa 2.0
$100,000
100.00×
—
0.0020%
$2.00
14d
2
Cooper Flagg Grail
2025-26 Topps Chrome · psa 9.0
$15,000
15.00×
—
0.0300%
$4.50
16d
3
Michael Jordan Grail
1986-87 Fleer · psa 8.0
$14,600
14.60×
—
0.0300%
$4.38
2d
4
Kobe Bryant Grail
2012-13 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$7,458
7.46×
—
0.0300%
$2.24
4d
5
Allen Iverson Chase
1998-99 Skybox Premium · psa 9.0
$4,101
4.10×
—
0.2000%
$8.20
14h
6
Anthony Edwards Chase
2024-25 Panini Prizm Black · psa 10.0
$3,488
3.49×
—
0.2000%
$6.98
15h
7
Jalen Brunson Chase
2024-25 Panini Prizm Black · psa 10.0
$3,446
3.45×
—
0.2000%
$6.89
3d
8
Michael Jordan Chase
1992-93 Topps Stadium Club · psa 9.0
$3,041
3.04×
—
0.2000%
$6.08
14h
9
Anthony Edwards Chase
2020-21 Panini National Treasures · psa 9.0
$3,007
3.01×
—
0.2000%
$6.01
3d
10
Stephen Curry Chase
2024-25 Panini Prizm Black · psa 10.0
$2,846
2.85×
—
0.2000%
$5.69
6d
11
Dylan Harper Chase
2025-26 Bowman · psa 10.0
$2,187
2.19×
—
0.2000%
$4.37
1d
12
Giannis Antetokounmpo Chase Pop 1
2025-26 Donruss · psa 10.0
$2,187
2.19×
—
0.2000%
$4.37
1d
13
Jimmy Butler
2020-21 Panini Crown Royale · psa 10.0
$1,195
1.19×
—
1.9700%
$23.54
15h
14
LeBron James
2012-13 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$1,189
1.19×
—
1.9700%
$23.43
19h
15
Kobe Bryant
2001-02 Topps Chrome · psa 9.0
$1,149
1.15×
—
1.9700%
$22.64
1d
16
LeBron James/Kobe Bryant
2009-10 Upper Deck · psa 9.0
$1,127
1.13×
—
1.9700%
$22.19
17h
17
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
2018-19 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$1,073
1.07×
—
1.9700%
$21.14
10h
18
Michael Jordan
1999-00 Upper Deck HoloGrFX · psa 9.0
$1,070
1.07×
—
1.9700%
$21.08
11h
19
Michael Jordan
2003-04 Upper Deck Rookie Exclusives · psa 9.0
$1,047
1.05×
—
1.9700%
$20.62
11h
20
Victor Wembanyama
2023-24 Panini Mosaic · psa 10.0
$978
0.98×
—
1.9700%
$19.27
14h
21
Michael Jordan
1999-00 Upper Deck HoloGrFX · psa 10.0
$975
0.97×
—
1.9700%
$19.20
11h
22
Damian Lillard
2013-14 Panini Innovation · beckett 8.5
$945
0.94×
—
1.9700%
$18.62
10h
23
Michael Jordan
1996-97 Bowman’s Best · psa 10.0
$945
0.94×
—
1.9700%
$18.62
6h
24
Michael Jordan
1995-96 Metal · psa 10.0
$905
0.90×
—
1.9700%
$17.83
1d
25
Shaquille O'Neal
1995-96 Flair · psa 9.0
$901
0.90×
—
1.9700%
$17.74
14h
26
Michael Jordan
1995-96 Topps Finest · psa 9.0
$883
0.88×
—
1.9700%
$17.40
9h
27
Michael Jordan
1997-98 Metal Universe Championship · psa 9.0
$862
0.86×
—
1.9700%
$16.97
19h
28
Michael Jordan
1998-99 SkyBox Molten Metal · psa 9.0
$855
0.85×
—
1.9700%
$16.84
6h
29
Kobe Bryant
1999-00 Upper Deck SP Authentic · psa 10.0
$843
0.84×
—
1.9700%
$16.61
10h
30
Michael Jordan
1995-96 Fleer Metal · psa 9.0
$821
0.82×
—
1.9700%
$16.17
1d
31
Nikola Jokic
2023-24 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$816
0.82×
—
1.9700%
$16.08
11h
32
Kobe Bryant
1996-97 Topps · psa 9.0
$815
0.82×
—
1.9700%
$16.06
6h
33
Michael Jordan
1997-98 Fleer Ultra · psa 9.0
$794
0.79×
—
1.9700%
$15.64
11h
34
LeBron James
2024-25 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$765
0.76×
—
1.9700%
$15.07
9h
35
Michael Jordan
1995-96 SP · psa 9.0
$762
0.76×
—
1.9700%
$15.00
1d
36
LeBron James
2015-16 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$754
0.75×
—
1.9700%
$14.85
6h
37
Nikola Jokic
2015-16 Panini Donruss Basketball · psa 10.0
$751
0.75×
—
1.9700%
$14.79
6h
38
LeBron James
2025-26 Topps Chrome Cosmic · psa 10.0
$746
0.75×
—
1.9700%
$14.69
1d
39
LeBron James
2024-25 Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$746
0.75×
—
1.9700%
$14.69
14h
40
Nikola Jokic
2015-16 Panini Donruss Basketball · psa 10.0
$738
0.74×
—
1.9700%
$14.54
11h
41
Jayson Tatum
2017-18 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$727
0.73×
—
1.9700%
$14.32
6h
42
Michael Jordan
1995-96 SP · psa 9.0
$720
0.72×
—
1.9700%
$14.18
10h
43
Giannis Antetokounmpo
2025-26 Topps Chrome · psa 10.0
$708
0.71×
—
1.9700%
$13.95
12h
44
Austin Reaves
2021-22 Panini Mosaic · psa 10.0
$704
0.70×
—
1.9700%
$13.87
7h
45
Nikola Jokic
2023-24 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$675
0.68×
—
1.9700%
$13.30
14h
46
Kobe Bryant
1996-97 Fleer Ultra · psa 9.0
$619
0.62×
—
1.9700%
$12.19
8h
47
Stephen Curry
2009-10 Upper Deck · beckett 9.5
$596
0.60×
—
1.9700%
$11.74
14h
48
Michael Jordan
1995-96 Skybox E-XL · psa 10.0
$593
0.59×
—
1.9700%
$11.69
1d
49
LeBron James/Carmelo Anthony/Dwyane Wade
2003-04 Fleer Tradition · psa 9.0
$586
0.59×
—
1.9700%
$11.55
10h
50
Jayson Tatum
2017-18 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$576
0.58×
—
1.9700%
$11.35
1d
51
Kobe Bryant
2006-07 Fleer E-X · psa 9.0
$568
0.57×
—
1.9700%
$11.19
1d
52
Michael Jordan
1995-96 NBA Hoops · psa 8.0
$563
0.56×
—
1.9700%
$11.09
17h
53
Bennedict Mathurin
2022-23 Panini Crown Royale · psa 10.0
$559
0.56×
—
1.9700%
$11.01
1d
54
Dylan Harper
2025-26 Topps Chrome · psa 10.0
$494
0.49×
—
1.9700%
$9.74
14h
55
Michael Jordan
1995-96 Skybox Premium · beckett 9.0
$419
0.42×
—
1.9700%
$8.26
14h
56
LeBron James
2003-04 Upper Deck · psa 10.0
$415
0.41×
—
1.9700%
$8.18
9h
57
Michael Jordan
1991 Hoops 100 Superstars · psa 9.0
$403
0.40×
—
1.9700%
$7.94
6h
58
Anthony Edwards
2025-26 Topps Chrome · beckett 9.0
$400
0.40×
—
1.9700%
$7.88
6h
59
Ace Bailey No Market Comps Found
2025-26 Bowman Sapphire Edition · psa 9.0
$400
0.40×
—
1.9700%
$7.88
7h
60
LeBron James
2024-25 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$400
0.40×
—
1.9700%
$7.88
6h
61
LeBron James
2003-04 Fleer Ultra · psa 10.0
$400
0.40×
—
1.9700%
$7.88
6h
62
Kobe Bryant
2000-01 Bowman's Best · beckett 9.5
$300
0.30×
—
1.9700%
$5.91
1d
Σ   pool EV (Σ value × pull probability)
$796.00
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