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Goat Basketball Elite
Special Series $1000
Peak 7d
—
—
% life +EV
0%
over last 500 polls
Max pull
30.0×
ceiling, this pool
EV trajectory · last 500 polls
Range: -30.9% to -13.5%
+EV crossings
≥2× pull
2.09%
fat-pull odds
≥10× pull
0.090%
grail odds
Median pull
$635
0.64× pack price, odds-weighted
CS Trigger
Pro only
How often does the 10%-extra-for-80%-floor insurance actually pay out on this pack? Estimates, not advice. You decide.
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Pool composition
18% of pulls are worth at least the $1000 pack (before fees).
Red = below break-even; green = above. The amber zone is where Collect Safe's 80% floor catches you.
Live activity
Every pull or add moves the EV
Card pool
Top cards by AC market value. Grail chips mark the top 0.1%; Chase marks the tier below. Trend tracks each card's value across every pack it's appeared in — its full history, not just its time in this pack — climbing or falling.
1
Kobe Bryant
Grail
2014-15 Panini Excalibur · beckett 9.0
$30,000
30.00×
—
0.0300%
$9.00
8d
2
Michael Jordan
Grail
1995-96 Topps Stadium Club · psa 10.0
$18,142
18.14×
—
0.0300%
$5.44
9d
3
LeBron James
Grail
2023-24 Panini Crown Royale · beckett 9.0
$16,000
16.00×
—
0.0300%
$4.80
—
4
LeBron James
2004-05 Topps Chrome · psa 9.0
$3,118
3.12×
—
2.0000%
$62.36
7d
5
Kobe Bryant
1997-98 Fleer · psa 10.0
$1,821
1.82×
—
2.0000%
$36.42
9d
6
Nikola Jokic
2024-25 Panini Revolution · psa 9.0
$1,475
1.47×
—
2.0000%
$29.49
9d
7
Kobe Bryant
2005-06 Topps Finest · psa 9.0
$1,328
1.33×
—
2.0000%
$26.56
8d
8
Kevin Durant
2024-25 Panini Prizm Black · psa 10.0
$1,250
1.25×
—
2.0000%
$25.00
7d
9
LeBron James
2019-20 Panini Mosaic · psa 10.0
$1,159
1.16×
—
2.0000%
$23.18
8d
10
Stephen Curry
2025-26 Topps Chrome · psa 10.0
$1,144
1.14×
—
2.0000%
$22.89
8d
11
Stephen Curry
2025-26 Topps Chrome · psa 9.0
$1,114
1.11×
—
2.0000%
$22.28
9d
12
Kevin Durant
2007-08 Topps Finest · psa 10.0
$1,112
1.11×
—
2.0000%
$22.24
9d
13
Kobe Bryant
1998-99 Skybox Thunder · psa 9.0
$959
0.96×
—
2.0000%
$19.17
7d
14
Kobe Bryant
2002-03 Topps Chrome · psa 10.0
$916
0.92×
—
2.0000%
$18.31
8d
15
Stephen Curry
2023-24 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$914
0.91×
—
2.0000%
$18.29
8d
16
Michael Jordan
1995-96 Fleer Metal · psa 9.0
$913
0.91×
—
2.0000%
$18.26
8d
17
Stephen Curry
2009-10 Panini Season Update · psa 10.0
$897
0.90×
—
2.0000%
$17.93
8d
18
Michael Jordan
1997-98 Fleer Ultra · psa 9.0
$895
0.90×
—
2.0000%
$17.91
7d
19
LeBron James
2007-08 Topps Chrome · psa 9.0
$892
0.89×
—
2.0000%
$17.83
8d
20
Michael Jordan
1996-97 Topps Chrome · psa 8.0
$888
0.89×
—
2.0000%
$17.76
8d
21
Michael Jordan
1990-91 SkyBox · psa 10.0
$829
0.83×
—
2.0000%
$16.58
7d
22
Michael Jordan
1995-96 SP · psa 9.0
$762
0.76×
—
2.0000%
$15.23
8d
23
LeBron James
2025-26 Topps Chrome Cosmic · psa 10.0
$755
0.76×
—
2.0000%
$15.10
9d
24
Kobe Bryant
1998-99 Topps · psa 8.0
$710
0.71×
—
2.0000%
$14.21
8d
25
Michael Jordan
1997-98 Skybox Z-Force · psa 9.0
$692
0.69×
—
2.0000%
$13.84
7d
26
Michael Jordan
1998-99 Topps Finest · psa 10.0
$674
0.67×
—
2.0000%
$13.47
9d
27
Kobe Bryant
1999-00 Flair Showcase · psa 8.0
$658
0.66×
—
2.0000%
$13.15
8d
28
Kobe Bryant
1997-98 Topps Chrome · psa 8.0
$635
0.64×
—
2.0000%
$12.70
8d
29
LeBron James
2014-15 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$618
0.62×
—
2.0000%
$12.36
9d
30
Michael Jordan
1996-97 Flair Showcase · psa 9.0
$606
0.61×
—
2.0000%
$12.11
9d
31
Kevin Durant
No Market Comps Found
2024-25 Panini Prizm Black · psa 10.0
$600
0.60×
—
2.0000%
$12.00
8d
32
Kobe Bryant
2005-06 Topps eTopps · beckett 9.5
$600
0.60×
—
2.0000%
$12.00
8d
33
LeBron James
2023-24 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$600
0.60×
—
2.0000%
$12.00
9d
34
Kobe Bryant
2016-17 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$590
0.59×
—
2.0000%
$11.80
8d
35
Kobe Bryant
1997-98 Fleer Ultra · psa 9.0
$582
0.58×
—
2.0000%
$11.65
9d
36
Michael Jordan
2008-09 Upper Deck · beckett 9.5
$576
0.58×
—
2.0000%
$11.51
8d
37
Kobe Bryant
2018-19 Panini Threads · psa 10.0
$576
0.58×
—
2.0000%
$11.51
7d
38
Shaquille O'Neal
1998-99 Topps Chrome · beckett 9.5
$576
0.58×
—
2.0000%
$11.51
9d
39
LeBron James
2019-20 Panini One and One · psa 10.0
$575
0.57×
—
2.0000%
$11.49
9d
40
Michael Jordan
1996-97 Fleer Ultra · psa 10.0
$571
0.57×
—
2.0000%
$11.43
8d
41
Michael Jordan
1995-96 NBA Hoops · psa 8.0
$561
0.56×
—
2.0000%
$11.22
8d
42
LeBron James
2008-09 Bowman · psa 10.0
$553
0.55×
—
2.0000%
$11.06
9d
43
Michael Jordan
1996-97 Fleer Ultra · psa 10.0
$551
0.55×
—
2.0000%
$11.02
8d
44
LeBron James
2020-21 Panini Donruss · psa 10.0
$515
0.52×
—
2.0000%
$10.30
7d
45
Kobe Bryant
2014-15 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$512
0.51×
—
2.0000%
$10.23
7d
46
LeBron James
2004-05 Fleer Tradition · psa 10.0
$507
0.51×
—
2.0000%
$10.14
8d
47
Michael Jordan
1996 Upper Deck USA · psa 10.0
$504
0.50×
—
2.0000%
$10.09
8d
48
Stephen Curry
2009-10 Panini · psa 9.0
$480
0.48×
—
2.0000%
$9.60
9d
49
Kobe Bryant
2019-20 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$459
0.46×
—
2.0000%
$9.18
7d
50
Shaquille O'Neal
1996-97 Fleer Metal · psa 8.0
$450
0.45×
—
2.0000%
$9.00
8d
51
Michael Jordan
2002-03 Topps Chrome · beckett 9.5
$400
0.40×
—
2.0000%
$8.00
9d
52
Kobe Bryant
2016-17 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$251
0.25×
—
2.0000%
$5.03
8d
53
Kobe Bryant
1996-97 Fleer Metal · beckett 8.5
$90
0.09×
—
2.0000%
$1.80
7d
Σ pool EV (Σ value × pull probability)
$807.45
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