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Football
Gold $100 WARM
Peak 7d
-19.8%
6h ago
% life +EV
0%
over last 500 polls
Max pull
46.2×
ceiling, this pool
EV trajectory · last 500 polls
Range: -35.4% to -19.8%
+EV crossings
≥2× pull
3.52%
fat-pull odds
≥10× pull
0.060%
grail odds
Median pull
$62
0.62× pack price, odds-weighted
CS Trigger
Pro only
How often does the 10%-extra-for-80%-floor insurance actually pay out on this pack? Estimates, not advice. You decide.
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Pool composition
You're underwater on 84% of pulls — most cards here are worth less than the $100 pack.
Red = below break-even; green = above. The amber zone is where Collect Safe's 80% floor catches you.
Live activity
Every pull or add moves the EV
Card pool
Top cards by AC market value. Grail chips mark the top 0.1%; Chase marks the tier below. Trend tracks each card's value across every pack it's appeared in — its full history, not just its time in this pack — climbing or falling.
1
Peyton Manning
1998 Fleer Brilliants · psa 9.0
$31
0.31×
—
1.9600%
$0.61
10h
2
Bo Nix
2024 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$37
0.37×
—
1.9600%
$0.73
8h
3
Justin Herbert
2020 Panini Donruss · psa 10.0
$38
0.38×
—
1.9600%
$0.74
6h
4
Jalen Hurts
2020 Panini Donruss · psa 10.0
$39
0.39×
—
1.9600%
$0.76
6h
5
Jalen Milroe
No Market Comps Found
2025 Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$40
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.78
6h
6
Jordan Love
Pop 1
No Market Comps Found
2024 Panini Contenders Optic · psa 9.0
$40
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.78
7h
7
Matt Ryan
2008 Topps Chrome · beckett 9.0
$40
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.78
6h
8
Caleb Williams
2024 Donruss · psa 9.0
$40
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.78
6h
9
Ronnie Lott
1992 Topps · psa 10.0
$40
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.78
6h
10
Joe Schmidt
1956 Topps · sgc 3.0
$40
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.78
8h
11
Cooper Kupp
2023 Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$40
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.78
6h
12
Aaron Rodgers
No Market Comps Found
2023 Panini Mosaic · psa 9.0
$40
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.78
6h
13
Jaxson Dart
2025 Panini Phoenix · psa 9.0
$40
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.79
8h
14
Josh Allen
2024 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$41
0.41×
—
1.9600%
$0.79
6h
15
Amon-Ra St. Brown
2021 Panini Donruss · psa 10.0
$44
0.44×
—
1.9600%
$0.85
6h
16
Cole Kmet
Pop 1
No Market Comps Found
2024 Score-A-Treat · psa 10.0
$46
0.46×
—
1.9600%
$0.90
6h
17
Chad Johnson
Pop 1
No Market Comps Found
2025 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$46
0.46×
—
1.9600%
$0.90
7h
18
Tyler Shough
No Market Comps Found
2025 Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$46
0.46×
—
1.9600%
$0.90
8h
19
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
2025 Panini Mosaic · psa 9.0
$46
0.46×
—
1.9600%
$0.90
6h
20
Ja’Marr Chase
2024 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$47
0.47×
—
1.9600%
$0.92
6h
21
Amon-Ra St. Brown
2021 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$48
0.48×
—
1.9600%
$0.94
6h
22
CeeDee Lamb
2020 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$54
0.54×
—
1.9600%
$1.06
6h
23
De'Von Achane
2023 Panini Score · psa 10.0
$55
0.55×
—
1.9600%
$1.08
6h
24
Tom Brady
2004 Topps Chrome · psa 8.0
$56
0.56×
—
1.9600%
$1.10
10h
25
Bryce Young
2023 Panini Donruss · psa 10.0
$59
0.59×
—
1.9600%
$1.17
10h
26
Tyler Shough
2025 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$62
0.62×
—
1.9600%
$1.21
7h
27
Jordan Love
2020 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$66
0.66×
—
1.9600%
$1.29
7h
28
Bo Nix
2024 Finest · psa 9.0
$66
0.67×
—
1.9600%
$1.30
6h
29
Travis Kelce
2023 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$67
0.67×
—
1.9600%
$1.31
6h
30
Cam Ward
2025 Panini Mosaic · psa 10.0
$67
0.67×
—
1.9600%
$1.31
3h
31
Pat Bryant
2025 Topps Chrome Sapphire Edition · beckett 9.0
$67
0.67×
—
1.9600%
$1.31
7h
32
C.J. Stroud
2023 Panini Rookies & Stars · psa 10.0
$68
0.68×
—
1.9600%
$1.34
8h
33
Travis Kelce
2013 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$68
0.69×
—
1.9600%
$1.34
6h
34
Jaxson Dart
2025 Panini Instant · psa 10.0
$70
0.70×
—
1.9600%
$1.37
6h
35
Drake Maye
2024 Donruss · psa 10.0
$73
0.73×
—
1.9600%
$1.43
6h
36
Bryce Young
2023 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$77
0.77×
—
1.9600%
$1.51
8h
37
Jordan Love
2020 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$77
0.77×
—
1.9600%
$1.52
6h
38
Jaxson Dart
2025 Panini Donruss · psa 10.0
$90
0.91×
—
1.9600%
$1.77
6h
39
Saquon Barkley
2018 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$92
0.92×
—
1.9600%
$1.80
6h
40
Tom Brady
2020 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$92
0.92×
—
1.9600%
$1.80
6h
41
Mike Evans
2014 Topps Platinum · psa 10.0
$93
0.93×
—
1.9600%
$1.82
7h
42
Jordan Addison
2023 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$95
0.95×
—
1.9600%
$1.86
7h
43
Jaxson Dart
2025 Topps Chrome · psa 9.0
$100
1.00×
—
1.9600%
$1.96
7h
44
Jaxson Dart
2025 Panini Mosaic · psa 10.0
$109
1.09×
—
1.9600%
$2.14
7h
45
DK Metcalf
No Market Comps Found
2021 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$110
1.10×
—
1.9600%
$2.15
8h
46
Justin Jefferson
2020 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$110
1.10×
—
1.9600%
$2.15
6h
47
Jayden Daniels
2024 Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$110
1.10×
—
1.9600%
$2.15
8h
48
Tony Gonzalez
No Market Comps Found
2020 Panini Contenders · psa 8.0
$110
1.10×
—
1.9600%
$2.15
6h
49
Davante Adams
2014 Topps Finest · psa 10.0
$110
1.10×
—
1.9600%
$2.15
6h
50
A.J. Brown
Chase
2019 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$155
1.55×
—
0.2500%
$0.39
1d
51
Randy Moss
Chase
2021 Panini Mosaic · psa 10.0
$195
1.95×
—
0.2500%
$0.49
1d
52
Patrick Mahomes II
Chase
No Market Comps Found
2021 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$244
2.44×
—
0.2500%
$0.61
8h
53
Shedeur Sanders
2025 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$244
2.44×
—
1.9600%
$4.78
6h
54
Barry Sanders
Chase
1989 Topps Traded · psa 10.0
$260
2.60×
—
0.2500%
$0.65
8h
55
Ja'Marr Chase
Chase
2023 Panini Mosaic · psa 10.0
$274
2.74×
—
0.2500%
$0.69
15h
56
Jayden Daniels
Chase
2024 Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$276
2.77×
—
0.2500%
$0.69
1d
57
Walter Payton
Chase
1976 Topps · psa 3.0
$301
3.01×
—
0.2500%
$0.75
17h
58
Kurt Warner
Chase
2024 Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$338
3.38×
—
0.2500%
$0.84
13h
59
Patrick Mahomes II
Grail
2023 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$2,917
29.17×
—
0.0200%
$0.58
11d
60
Josh Allen
Grail
No Market Comps Found
2025 Panini Absolute · psa 9.0
$2,917
29.17×
—
0.0200%
$0.58
—
61
Joe Burrow
Grail
2025 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$4,618
46.18×
—
0.0200%
$0.92
9d
Σ pool EV (Σ value × pull probability)
$73.58
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