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Football
Gold $100
Peak 7d
-13.8%
1d ago
% life +EV
0%
over last 500 polls
Max pull
1000.0×
ceiling, this pool
EV trajectory · last 500 polls
Range: -34.1% to -13.8%
+EV crossings
≥2× pull
2.14%
fat-pull odds
≥10× pull
0.060%
grail odds
Median pull
$56
0.56× pack price, odds-weighted
CS Trigger
Pro only
How often does the 10%-extra-for-80%-floor insurance actually pay out on this pack? Estimates, not advice. You decide.
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Pool composition
22% of pulls are worth at least the $100 pack (before fees).
Red = below break-even; green = above. The amber zone is where Collect Safe's 80% floor catches you.
Live activity
Every pull or add moves the EV
Card pool
Top cards by AC market value. Grail chips mark the top 0.1%; Chase marks the tier below. Trend tracks each card's value across every pack it's appeared in — its full history, not just its time in this pack — climbing or falling.
1
Calvin Johnson
2008 Topps Finest · psa 9.0
$16
0.16×
—
1.9600%
$0.32
4h
2
Peyton Manning
2000 Topps Finest · psa 9.0
$22
0.22×
—
1.9600%
$0.43
6h
3
Tyler Shough
2025 Topps Chrome · psa 9.0
$35
0.35×
—
1.9600%
$0.69
7h
4
Drake Maye
2024 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$37
0.37×
—
1.9600%
$0.72
7h
5
Cam Skattebo
2025 Panini Donruss · psa 9.0
$37
0.37×
—
1.9600%
$0.73
6h
6
Brock Bowers
2024 Donruss · psa 10.0
$39
0.39×
—
1.9600%
$0.76
6h
7
Sam Darnold
2018 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$40
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.78
6h
8
Bo Nix
2024 Donruss · psa 10.0
$40
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.78
6h
9
Joe Burrow
2020 Panini Chronicles · psa 10.0
$40
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.78
6h
10
Kyle Pitts
Pop 1
2025 Panini Donruss · psa 9.0
$40
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.78
6h
11
DK Metcalf
2019 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$40
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.78
6h
12
Saquon Barkley
Pop 1
2025 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$40
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.78
9h
13
Shedeur Sanders
2025 Panini Mosaic · beckett 9.5
$40
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.78
6h
14
Ricky Williams
Pop 1
2025 Panini Prizm Black · psa 10.0
$40
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.78
6h
15
Jalen Hurts
2022 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$40
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.78
6h
16
Eli Manning
2004 Topps Pristine · psa 9.0
$40
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.78
7h
17
Zay Flowers
2022 Panini Select · psa 9.0
$40
0.41×
—
1.9600%
$0.79
7h
18
Michael Irvin
1989 Topps · psa 9.0
$40
0.41×
—
1.9600%
$0.79
7h
19
Bo Nix
2024 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$47
0.47×
—
1.9600%
$0.92
7h
20
John Elway
1996 Skybox Impact · psa 10.0
$47
0.47×
—
1.9600%
$0.92
5h
21
Tetairoa McMillan
2025 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$48
0.48×
—
1.9600%
$0.94
6h
22
Brock Purdy
2022 Panini Chronicles · psa 9.0
$48
0.48×
—
1.9600%
$0.95
7h
23
Lamar Jackson
2020 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$53
0.53×
—
1.9600%
$1.04
7h
24
Brock Bowers
2024 Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$53
0.53×
—
1.9600%
$1.04
6h
25
Tom Brady
2020 Panini Mosaic · psa 9.0
$53
0.53×
—
1.9600%
$1.05
4h
26
Sam Darnold
2018 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$56
0.56×
—
1.9600%
$1.10
6h
27
Puka Nacua
2023 Panini Absolute · psa 10.0
$56
0.56×
—
1.9600%
$1.10
6h
28
Joe Burrow
2020 Panini Select · psa 9.0
$57
0.57×
—
1.9600%
$1.12
6h
29
Caleb Williams
2024 Panini Absolute · psa 9.0
$58
0.58×
—
1.9600%
$1.14
7h
30
Randy Moss
1998 Topps · psa 9.0
$60
0.60×
—
1.9600%
$1.18
6h
31
Kyler Murray
2020 Panini Contenders Optic · psa 10.0
$64
0.64×
—
1.9600%
$1.25
9h
32
Malik Nabers
2024 Donruss · psa 10.0
$70
0.69×
—
1.9600%
$1.36
6h
33
Drake Maye
2024 Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$73
0.73×
—
1.9600%
$1.42
6h
34
Bryce Young
2023 Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$73
0.73×
—
1.9600%
$1.43
8h
35
Tetairoa McMillan
2025 Topps Chrome · psa 10.0
$80
0.80×
—
1.9600%
$1.56
6h
36
Fernando Mendoza
2026 Topps Now Draft · psa 10.0
$81
0.81×
—
1.9600%
$1.59
6h
37
C.J. Stroud
2023 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$91
0.91×
—
1.9600%
$1.79
6h
38
Joe Burrow
2020 Panini Select · psa 9.0
$92
0.92×
—
1.9600%
$1.81
2h
39
Drake Maye
2024 Panini Prizm · psa 8.0
$92
0.92×
—
1.9600%
$1.81
4h
40
Jared Verse
2024 Panini Select · psa 9.0
$95
0.95×
—
1.9600%
$1.86
8h
41
Myles Garrett
2024 Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$105
1.05×
—
1.9600%
$2.06
7h
42
Shedeur Sanders
2025 Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$106
1.06×
—
1.9600%
$2.07
6h
43
Justin Herbert
2020 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$108
1.08×
—
1.9600%
$2.12
8h
44
Bryce Young
2023 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$110
1.10×
—
1.9600%
$2.16
7h
45
Justin Herbert
2020 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$133
1.33×
—
1.9600%
$2.61
1h
46
Justin Herbert
2020 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$142
1.42×
—
1.9600%
$2.78
6h
47
Bo Nix
2024 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$159
1.59×
—
1.9600%
$3.12
6h
48
Patrick Willis
2007 Topps Chrome · psa 10.0
$169
1.69×
—
1.9600%
$3.31
6h
49
Baker Mayfield
2018 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$169
1.69×
—
1.9600%
$3.31
6h
50
Josh Allen
2024 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$174
1.74×
—
1.9600%
$3.40
7h
51
Cam Skattebo
Chase
2025 Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$232
2.32×
—
0.2600%
$0.60
11h
52
Philip Rivers
Chase
2004 Topps Chrome · beckett 9.0
$232
2.32×
—
0.2600%
$0.60
15h
53
Peyton Manning
Chase
1998 Topps Finest · psa 10.0
$287
2.87×
—
0.2600%
$0.75
19h
54
Colston Loveland
Chase
2025 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$287
2.87×
—
0.2600%
$0.75
15h
55
Lamar Jackson
Chase
2025 Panini Phoenix · psa 9.0
$319
3.19×
—
0.2600%
$0.83
15h
56
Tyler Warren
Chase
Pop 1
No Market Comps Found
2025 Topps Chrome · psa 9.0
$348
3.48×
—
0.2600%
$0.91
13h
57
Christian McCaffrey
Chase
2023 Panini Mosaic · psa 10.0
$348
3.48×
—
0.2600%
$0.91
15h
58
Drake London
Chase
2022 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$360
3.60×
—
0.2600%
$0.94
8h
59
Caleb Williams
Grail
2024 Panini Obsidian · psa 10.0
$2,493
24.93×
—
0.0200%
$0.50
1d
60
Tom Brady
Grail
2025 Topps Chrome · psa 9.0
$2,992
29.92×
—
0.0200%
$0.60
16h
61
Patrick Mahomes II
Grail
2025 Topps Chrome · psa 9.0
$3,573
35.73×
—
0.0200%
$0.71
1d
62
Mickey Mantle
Grail
1952 Topps · psa 2.0
$100,000
1000.00×
—
0.0002%
$0.20
14d
Σ pool EV (Σ value × pull probability)
$76.67
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