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Basketball

Crown Jewel $5000
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EV
-32.3%
Snapshot from 6h ago · public view delayed 6h · Sign up free for the 1-hour view →
Peak 7d
-30.2%
1d ago
% life +EV
0%
over last 500 polls
Max pull
9.5×
ceiling, this pool
EV trajectory · last 500 polls
Range: -39.6% to -30.2%
+EV crossings
break-even
≥2× pull
0.87%
fat-pull odds
≥10× pull
0.000%
grail odds
Median pull
$3,250
0.65× pack price, odds-weighted
CS Trigger
Pro only
How often does the 10%-extra-for-80%-floor insurance actually pay out on this pack? Estimates, not advice. You decide.
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Pool composition
8% of pulls are worth at least the $5000 pack (before fees). Red = below break-even; green = above. The amber zone is where Collect Safe's 80% floor catches you.
Basketball · Crown Jewel · $5000 ≤0.05× pack price — 0.00% chance ≤0.05 0% .05-.1× pack price — 0.00% chance .05-.1 0% .1-.2× pack price — 3.38% chance .1-.2 3% .2-.35× pack price — 6.76% chance .2-.35 7% .35-.55× pack price — 24.14% chance .35-.55 24% .55-.75× pack price — 37.18% chance .55-.75 37% .75-.9× pack price — 16.90% chance .75-.9 17% .9-1× pack price — 3.38% chance .9-1 3% 1-1.25× pack price — 3.38% chance 1-1.25 3% 1.25-1.75× pack price — 4.10% chance 1.25-1.75 4% 1.75-2.5× pack price — 0.480% chance 1.75-2.5 0% 2.5-4× pack price — 0.240% chance 2.5-4 0% 4-7× pack price — 0.00% chance 4-7 0% 7-12× pack price — 0.150% chance 7-12 0% 12-25× pack price — 0.00% chance 12-25 0% >25× pack price — 0.00% chance >25 0% Collect Safe floor · 0.889× break-even · 1.00× grail zone · up to 10× as of Oct 29, 2026 · 5:39 AM PDT shouldirip.com
Live activity
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Card pool

Top cards by AC market value. Grail chips mark the top 0.1%; Chase marks the tier below. Trend tracks each card's value across every pack it's appeared in — its full history, not just its time in this pack — climbing or falling.

40 cards · sorted by value ▼
1
Stephen Curry Grail No Market Comps Found
2025-26 Bowman · psa 10.0
$47,698
9.54×
0.0500%
$23.85
—
2
Kobe Bryant Grail No Market Comps Found
2018-19 Panini Contenders · beckett 9.5
$47,698
9.54×
0.0500%
$23.85
—
3
LeBron James Grail
2013-14 Panini Innovation · psa 9.0
$47,698
9.54×
0.0500%
$23.85
24d
4
Kobe Bryant Chase
1998-99 Fleer Brilliants · beckett 9.0
$18,600
3.72×
0.2400%
$44.64
26d
5
Michael Jordan Chase
1996-97 Skybox Z-Force · psa 8.0
$11,612
2.32×
0.2400%
$27.87
15d
6
Kobe Bryant Chase
1996-97 Topps Finest · psa 9.0
$10,749
2.15×
0.2400%
$25.80
—
7
Stephen Curry Chase
2024-25 Panini Prizm Black · psa 10.0
$8,683
1.74×
0.2400%
$20.84
—
8
Kobe Bryant
1996-97 E-X2000 · psa 9.0
$7,253
1.45×
—
3.3800%
$245.16
1d
9
Nikola Jokic Chase 1 of 1
2023-24 Panini Contenders · psa 9.0
$7,253
1.45×
—
0.2400%
$17.41
—
10
Michael Jordan Chase
1998-99 Fleer Tradition · psa 8.0
$6,976
1.40×
—
0.2400%
$16.74
—
11
Cade Cunningham
2021-22 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$5,327
1.07×
—
3.3800%
$180.05
22h
12
Luka Doncic
2018-19 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$4,860
0.97×
—
3.3800%
$164.27
3d
13
Kobe Bryant
1996-97 Skybox E-X2000 · psa 8.0
$4,463
0.89×
—
3.3800%
$150.86
6d
14
Luka Doncic
2024-25 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$4,316
0.86×
—
3.3800%
$145.88
8d
15
Michael Jordan
1996-97 Fleer · psa 10.0
$4,302
0.86×
—
3.3800%
$145.39
1d
16
Michael Jordan
1998-99 Skybox Premium · psa 8.0
$3,786
0.76×
—
3.3800%
$127.95
1d
17
Kobe Bryant
1996-97 Skybox E-X2000 · psa 9.0
$3,750
0.75×
—
3.3800%
$126.75
1d
18
LeBron James
2003-04 Bowman · beckett 9.5
$3,500
0.70×
—
3.3800%
$118.30
8d
19
Kobe Bryant
1996-97 Topps · psa 9.0
$3,414
0.68×
—
3.3800%
$115.39
9d
20
Michael Jordan
1995-96 Skybox Premium · psa 8.0
$3,409
0.68×
—
3.3800%
$115.22
5d
21
Stephon Castle
2024-25 Panini Revolution · psa 9.0
$3,329
0.67×
—
3.3800%
$112.52
18d
22
Michael Jordan
1992-93 Topps Stadium Club · psa 10.0
$3,302
0.66×
—
3.3800%
$111.62
1d
23
Kobe Bryant
1996-97 Flair Showcase · psa 8.0
$3,258
0.65×
—
3.3800%
$110.12
10d
24
Michael Jordan
1986 Star Michael Jordan · beckett 8.5
$3,250
0.65×
—
3.3800%
$109.84
3d
25
Jayson Tatum/Jaylen Brown
2024-25 Panini Prizm Black · psa 10.0
$3,240
0.65×
—
3.3800%
$109.50
4d
26
Kobe Bryant
1998-99 Topps Chrome · psa 9.0
$3,104
0.62×
—
3.3800%
$104.93
1d
27
Michael Jordan
1992-93 Topps Stadium Club · psa 9.0
$3,041
0.61×
—
3.3800%
$102.79
21h
28
Kobe Bryant
1996-97 Skybox E-X2000 · beckett 9.0
$3,000
0.60×
—
3.3800%
$101.40
3d
29
Kobe Bryant
1999-00 Flair Showcase · psa 10.0
$2,746
0.55×
—
3.3800%
$92.83
1d
30
Kevin Garnett/Kobe Bryant Chase
2003-04 SP Authentic · beckett 9.0
$2,475
0.49×
—
0.2400%
$5.94
2d
31
Michael Jordan
1996-97 Fleer Ultra · psa 8.0
$2,453
0.49×
—
3.3800%
$82.93
9d
32
LeBron James
2003-04 Topps eTopps · psa 10.0
$2,429
0.49×
—
3.3800%
$82.08
5d
33
Kobe Bryant Chase
1997-98 Flair Showcase · beckett 9.5
$2,370
0.47×
—
0.2400%
$5.69
1d
34
Luka Dončić
2025-26 Topps Chrome Cosmic · psa 10.0
$2,000
0.40×
—
3.3800%
$67.60
8d
35
Kon Knueppel Pop 1 No Market Comps Found
2025-26 Topps Three · psa 8.0
$2,000
0.40×
—
3.3800%
$67.60
1d
36
Shaquille O'Neal
1992-93 Topps Stadium Club · psa 9.0
$1,986
0.40×
—
3.3800%
$67.14
22h
37
Michael Jordan
1996-97 Fleer Ultra · beckett 9.0
$1,779
0.36×
—
3.3800%
$60.14
22h
38
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
2018-19 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$1,744
0.35×
—
3.3800%
$58.95
56m 54s
39
Michael Jordan
1996-97 Bowman’s Best · beckett 9.0
$1,171
0.23×
—
3.3800%
$39.58
1d
40
Kobe Bryant
1999-00 Fleer Force · psa 10.0
$893
0.18×
—
3.3800%
$30.18
5d
Σ   pool EV (Σ value × pull probability)
$3383.45
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