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Football

Diamond $1000
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EV
-18.1%
Snapshot from 6h ago · public view delayed 6h · Sign up free for the 1-hour view →
Peak 7d
-10.7%
2d ago
% life +EV
0%
over last 500 polls
Max pull
100.0×
ceiling, this pool
EV trajectory · last 500 polls
Range: -29.7% to -10.7%
+EV crossings
break-even
≥2× pull
1.77%
fat-pull odds
≥10× pull
0.062%
grail odds
Median pull
$678
0.68× pack price, odds-weighted
CS Trigger
Pro only
How often does the 10%-extra-for-80%-floor insurance actually pay out on this pack? Estimates, not advice. You decide.
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Pool composition
15% of pulls are worth at least the $1000 pack (before fees). Red = below break-even; green = above. The amber zone is where Collect Safe's 80% floor catches you.
Football · Diamond · $1000 ≤0.05× pack price — 0.00% chance ≤0.05 0% .05-.1× pack price — 0.00% chance .05-.1 0% .1-.2× pack price — 1.96% chance .1-.2 2% .2-.35× pack price — 3.92% chance .2-.35 4% .35-.55× pack price — 11.76% chance .35-.55 12% .55-.75× pack price — 45.08% chance .55-.75 45% .75-.9× pack price — 15.68% chance .75-.9 16% .9-1× pack price — 5.88% chance .9-1 6% 1-1.25× pack price — 1.96% chance 1-1.25 2% 1.25-1.75× pack price — 9.80% chance 1.25-1.75 10% 1.75-2.5× pack price — 2.17% chance 1.75-2.5 2% 2.5-4× pack price — 0.840% chance 2.5-4 1% 4-7× pack price — 0.660% chance 4-7 1% 7-12× pack price — 0.00% chance 7-12 0% 12-25× pack price — 0.060% chance 12-25 <0.1% >25× pack price — 0.002% chance >25 <0.1% Collect Safe floor · 0.889× break-even · 1.00× grail zone · up to 100× as of Nov 13, 2026 · 8:20 PM PST shouldirip.com
Live activity
Every pull or add moves the EV
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Card pool

Top cards by AC market value. Grail chips mark the top 0.1%; Chase marks the tier below. Trend tracks each card's value across every pack it's appeared in — its full history, not just its time in this pack — climbing or falling.

62 cards · sorted by value ▲
#
Card · Set
Value ▲
V/P
Trend
Pull P
EV ctrb
Added
1
Peyton Manning
1998 Bowman Chrome · beckett 9.0
$175
0.17×
—
1.9600%
$3.43
12h
2
Barry Sanders
1999 Topps Stadium Club · psa 10.0
$322
0.32×
—
1.9600%
$6.31
8h
3
Ray Lewis
2018 Panini National Treasures · psa 10.0
$336
0.34×
—
1.9600%
$6.59
21h
4
Bryce Young
2023 Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$400
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$7.84
1d
5
Joe Burrow
2021 Panini Absolute · beckett 9.0
$400
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$7.84
1d
6
Joe Montana
2025 Panini Donruss · beckett 9.0
$400
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$7.84
12h
7
Joe Burrow
2023 Panini Absolute · psa 9.0
$400
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$7.84
1d
8
Jameson Williams
2022 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$470
0.47×
—
1.9600%
$9.21
6h
9
Tom Brady
2007 Topps Chrome · psa 9.0
$489
0.49×
—
1.9600%
$9.59
6h
10
Joe Burrow
2020 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$571
0.57×
—
1.9600%
$11.19
9h
11
Tom Brady
2007 Topps Chrome · psa 10.0
$578
0.58×
—
1.9600%
$11.32
9h
12
Bryce Young
2023 Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$588
0.59×
—
1.9600%
$11.51
11h
13
Justin Jefferson
2025 Topps Chrome · psa 10.0
$591
0.59×
—
1.9600%
$11.59
1d
14
Jerry Rice
2000 Topps Gallery · psa 10.0
$603
0.60×
—
1.9600%
$11.82
1d
15
Justin Jefferson
2025 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$623
0.62×
—
1.9600%
$12.21
9h
16
Jordan Love
2020 Panini Chronicles · psa 10.0
$626
0.63×
—
1.9600%
$12.27
7h
17
Quinshon Judkins
2025 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$640
0.64×
—
1.9600%
$12.54
15h
18
DK Metcalf
2019 Panini Absolute · psa 9.0
$640
0.64×
—
1.9600%
$12.54
7h
19
Nick Chubb
2022 Panini Absolute · psa 10.0
$645
0.65×
—
1.9600%
$12.64
1d
20
TreVeyon Henderson
2025 Donruss Rookies & Highlights · psa 10.0
$646
0.65×
—
1.9600%
$12.66
1d
21
Bijan Robinson
2023 Panini Donruss · psa 9.0
$648
0.65×
—
1.9600%
$12.71
1d
22
Bijan Robinson
2023 Panini Donruss · psa 9.0
$648
0.65×
—
1.9600%
$12.71
1d
23
Maxx Crosby
2025 Panini Absolute · psa 10.0
$659
0.66×
—
1.9600%
$12.92
1d
24
Derrick Henry
2016 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$660
0.66×
—
1.9600%
$12.95
10h
25
Tom Brady
2003 Bowman Chrome · psa 10.0
$676
0.68×
—
1.9600%
$13.26
15h
26
Matthew Stafford
2025 Panini Donruss · psa 10.0
$678
0.68×
—
1.9600%
$13.29
6h
27
Luther Burden III
2025 Panini Absolute · psa 9.0
$692
0.69×
—
1.9600%
$13.56
16h
28
TreVeyon Henderson
2025 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$719
0.72×
—
1.9600%
$14.10
12h
29
Caleb Williams
2024 Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$725
0.72×
—
1.9600%
$14.21
1d
30
Jared Goff
2024 Panini Absolute · psa 10.0
$728
0.73×
—
1.9600%
$14.26
1d
31
Tom Brady
2012 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$737
0.74×
—
1.9600%
$14.44
1d
32
Larry Fitzgerald
2025 Panini Donruss · psa 10.0
$746
0.75×
—
1.9600%
$14.63
1d
33
Jordan Love
2020 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$751
0.75×
—
1.9600%
$14.72
1d
34
Travis Kelce
2013 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$754
0.75×
—
1.9600%
$14.78
1d
35
Luther Burden III/Rome Odunze
2025 Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$783
0.78×
—
1.9600%
$15.35
16h
36
Patrick Mahomes II
2024 Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$814
0.81×
—
1.9600%
$15.94
14h
37
Bo Nix
2024 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$825
0.83×
—
1.9600%
$16.17
15h
38
Randy Moss
1998 Bowman Chrome · psa 9.0
$840
0.84×
—
1.9600%
$16.46
6h
39
Odell Beckham Jr.
2025 Panini Donruss · psa 10.0
$864
0.86×
—
1.9600%
$16.94
11h
40
Brock Purdy
2025 Panini Absolute · psa 9.0
$880
0.88×
—
1.9600%
$17.25
1d
41
Terry Bradshaw
2025 Panini Prizm Black · psa 10.0
$914
0.91×
—
1.9600%
$17.91
6h
42
Peyton Manning
1998 Bowman Chrome · psa 10.0
$933
0.93×
—
1.9600%
$18.30
8h
43
Josh Allen
2018 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$956
0.96×
—
1.9600%
$18.73
6h
44
Patrick Mahomes II
2017 Panini Prizm · psa 8.0
$1,241
1.24×
—
1.9600%
$24.32
1d
45
Terrell Owens
2024 Panini Absolute · psa 10.0
$1,307
1.31×
—
1.9600%
$25.62
15h
46
Joe Burrow
2023 Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$1,353
1.35×
—
1.9600%
$26.51
12h
47
Ashton Jeanty
2025 Panini Absolute · psa 10.0
$1,360
1.36×
—
1.9600%
$26.66
6h
48
Luther Burden III
2025 Panini Absolute · psa 10.0
$1,375
1.37×
—
1.9600%
$26.95
6h
49
Ja'Marr Chase
2021 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$1,539
1.54×
—
1.9600%
$30.17
1d
50
Ja'Marr Chase
2021 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$1,839
1.84×
—
1.9600%
$36.05
2d
51
Adrian Peterson Chase
2024 Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$2,421
2.42×
—
0.2100%
$5.08
7d
52
Deion Sanders Chase
2024 Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$2,817
2.82×
—
0.2100%
$5.92
2d
53
Drake London Chase
2022 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$2,936
2.94×
—
0.2100%
$6.17
4d
54
Joe Burrow Chase
2020 Panini Contenders · psa 10.0
$3,165
3.16×
—
0.2100%
$6.65
2d
55
Joe Montana Chase
2024 Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$3,260
3.26×
—
0.2100%
$6.85
7d
56
Joe Burrow Chase
2020 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$4,542
4.54×
—
0.2100%
$9.54
1d
57
Ray Lewis Chase
2025 Panini Prizm Black · psa 10.0
$4,870
4.87×
—
0.2100%
$10.23
8h
58
Randy Moss Chase
2025 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$5,163
5.16×
—
0.2100%
$10.84
10d
59
Patrick Mahomes II Grail
2017 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$6,732
6.73×
—
0.0300%
$2.02
—
60
Tom Brady Grail
2022 Panini Absolute · psa 10.0
$20,680
20.68×
—
0.0300%
$6.20
14d
61
Patrick Mahomes II Grail
2017 Panini Contenders · beckett 9.0
$21,500
21.50×
—
0.0300%
$6.45
11d
62
Mickey Mantle Grail
1952 Topps · psa 2.0
$100,000
100.00×
—
0.0020%
$2.00
14d
Σ   pool EV (Σ value × pull probability)
$818.62
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