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Football
Diamond $1000
Peak 7d
-10.7%
2d ago
% life +EV
0%
over last 500 polls
Max pull
100.0×
ceiling, this pool
EV trajectory · last 500 polls
Range: -29.7% to -10.7%
+EV crossings
≥2× pull
1.77%
fat-pull odds
≥10× pull
0.062%
grail odds
Median pull
$678
0.68× pack price, odds-weighted
CS Trigger
Pro only
How often does the 10%-extra-for-80%-floor insurance actually pay out on this pack? Estimates, not advice. You decide.
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Pool composition
15% of pulls are worth at least the $1000 pack (before fees).
Red = below break-even; green = above. The amber zone is where Collect Safe's 80% floor catches you.
Live activity
Every pull or add moves the EV
Card pool
Top cards by AC market value. Grail chips mark the top 0.1%; Chase marks the tier below. Trend tracks each card's value across every pack it's appeared in — its full history, not just its time in this pack — climbing or falling.
1
Mickey Mantle
Grail
1952 Topps · psa 2.0
$100,000
100.00×
0.0020%
$2.00
14d
2
Patrick Mahomes II
Grail
2017 Panini Contenders · beckett 9.0
$21,500
21.50×
0.0300%
$6.45
11d
3
Tom Brady
Grail
2022 Panini Absolute · psa 10.0
$20,680
20.68×
0.0300%
$6.20
14d
4
Patrick Mahomes II
Grail
2017 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$6,732
6.73×
0.0300%
$2.02
—
5
Randy Moss
Chase
2025 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$5,163
5.16×
0.2100%
$10.84
10d
6
Ray Lewis
Chase
2025 Panini Prizm Black · psa 10.0
$4,870
4.87×
0.2100%
$10.23
8h
7
Joe Burrow
Chase
2020 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$4,542
4.54×
0.2100%
$9.54
1d
8
Joe Montana
Chase
2024 Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$3,260
3.26×
—
0.2100%
$6.85
7d
9
Joe Burrow
Chase
2020 Panini Contenders · psa 10.0
$3,165
3.16×
—
0.2100%
$6.65
2d
10
Drake London
Chase
2022 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$2,936
2.94×
—
0.2100%
$6.17
4d
11
Deion Sanders
Chase
2024 Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$2,817
2.82×
—
0.2100%
$5.92
2d
12
Adrian Peterson
Chase
2024 Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$2,421
2.42×
—
0.2100%
$5.08
7d
13
Ja'Marr Chase
2021 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$1,839
1.84×
—
1.9600%
$36.05
2d
14
Ja'Marr Chase
2021 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$1,539
1.54×
—
1.9600%
$30.17
1d
15
Luther Burden III
2025 Panini Absolute · psa 10.0
$1,375
1.37×
—
1.9600%
$26.95
6h
16
Ashton Jeanty
2025 Panini Absolute · psa 10.0
$1,360
1.36×
—
1.9600%
$26.66
6h
17
Joe Burrow
2023 Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$1,353
1.35×
—
1.9600%
$26.51
12h
18
Terrell Owens
2024 Panini Absolute · psa 10.0
$1,307
1.31×
—
1.9600%
$25.62
15h
19
Patrick Mahomes II
2017 Panini Prizm · psa 8.0
$1,241
1.24×
—
1.9600%
$24.32
1d
20
Josh Allen
2018 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$956
0.96×
—
1.9600%
$18.73
6h
21
Peyton Manning
1998 Bowman Chrome · psa 10.0
$933
0.93×
—
1.9600%
$18.30
8h
22
Terry Bradshaw
2025 Panini Prizm Black · psa 10.0
$914
0.91×
—
1.9600%
$17.91
6h
23
Brock Purdy
2025 Panini Absolute · psa 9.0
$880
0.88×
—
1.9600%
$17.25
1d
24
Odell Beckham Jr.
2025 Panini Donruss · psa 10.0
$864
0.86×
—
1.9600%
$16.94
11h
25
Randy Moss
1998 Bowman Chrome · psa 9.0
$840
0.84×
—
1.9600%
$16.46
6h
26
Bo Nix
2024 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$825
0.83×
—
1.9600%
$16.17
15h
27
Patrick Mahomes II
2024 Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$814
0.81×
—
1.9600%
$15.94
14h
28
Luther Burden III/Rome Odunze
2025 Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$783
0.78×
—
1.9600%
$15.35
16h
29
Travis Kelce
2013 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$754
0.75×
—
1.9600%
$14.78
1d
30
Jordan Love
2020 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$751
0.75×
—
1.9600%
$14.72
1d
31
Larry Fitzgerald
2025 Panini Donruss · psa 10.0
$746
0.75×
—
1.9600%
$14.63
1d
32
Tom Brady
2012 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$737
0.74×
—
1.9600%
$14.44
1d
33
Jared Goff
2024 Panini Absolute · psa 10.0
$728
0.73×
—
1.9600%
$14.26
1d
34
Caleb Williams
2024 Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$725
0.72×
—
1.9600%
$14.21
1d
35
TreVeyon Henderson
2025 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$719
0.72×
—
1.9600%
$14.10
12h
36
Luther Burden III
2025 Panini Absolute · psa 9.0
$692
0.69×
—
1.9600%
$13.56
16h
37
Matthew Stafford
2025 Panini Donruss · psa 10.0
$678
0.68×
—
1.9600%
$13.29
6h
38
Tom Brady
2003 Bowman Chrome · psa 10.0
$676
0.68×
—
1.9600%
$13.26
15h
39
Derrick Henry
2016 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$660
0.66×
—
1.9600%
$12.95
10h
40
Maxx Crosby
2025 Panini Absolute · psa 10.0
$659
0.66×
—
1.9600%
$12.92
1d
41
Bijan Robinson
2023 Panini Donruss · psa 9.0
$648
0.65×
—
1.9600%
$12.71
1d
42
Bijan Robinson
2023 Panini Donruss · psa 9.0
$648
0.65×
—
1.9600%
$12.71
1d
43
TreVeyon Henderson
2025 Donruss Rookies & Highlights · psa 10.0
$646
0.65×
—
1.9600%
$12.66
1d
44
Nick Chubb
2022 Panini Absolute · psa 10.0
$645
0.65×
—
1.9600%
$12.64
1d
45
DK Metcalf
2019 Panini Absolute · psa 9.0
$640
0.64×
—
1.9600%
$12.54
7h
46
Quinshon Judkins
2025 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$640
0.64×
—
1.9600%
$12.54
15h
47
Jordan Love
2020 Panini Chronicles · psa 10.0
$626
0.63×
—
1.9600%
$12.27
7h
48
Justin Jefferson
2025 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$623
0.62×
—
1.9600%
$12.21
9h
49
Jerry Rice
2000 Topps Gallery · psa 10.0
$603
0.60×
—
1.9600%
$11.82
1d
50
Justin Jefferson
2025 Topps Chrome · psa 10.0
$591
0.59×
—
1.9600%
$11.59
1d
51
Bryce Young
2023 Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$588
0.59×
—
1.9600%
$11.51
11h
52
Tom Brady
2007 Topps Chrome · psa 10.0
$578
0.58×
—
1.9600%
$11.32
9h
53
Joe Burrow
2020 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$571
0.57×
—
1.9600%
$11.19
9h
54
Tom Brady
2007 Topps Chrome · psa 9.0
$489
0.49×
—
1.9600%
$9.59
6h
55
Jameson Williams
2022 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$470
0.47×
—
1.9600%
$9.21
6h
56
Bryce Young
2023 Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$400
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$7.84
1d
57
Joe Burrow
2021 Panini Absolute · beckett 9.0
$400
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$7.84
1d
58
Joe Montana
2025 Panini Donruss · beckett 9.0
$400
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$7.84
12h
59
Joe Burrow
2023 Panini Absolute · psa 9.0
$400
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$7.84
1d
60
Ray Lewis
2018 Panini National Treasures · psa 10.0
$336
0.34×
—
1.9600%
$6.59
21h
61
Barry Sanders
1999 Topps Stadium Club · psa 10.0
$322
0.32×
—
1.9600%
$6.31
8h
62
Peyton Manning
1998 Bowman Chrome · beckett 9.0
$175
0.17×
—
1.9600%
$3.43
12h
Σ pool EV (Σ value × pull probability)
$818.62
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