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Basketball
Diamond $1000 WARM
Peak 7d
-8.8%
23h ago
% life +EV
0%
over last 500 polls
Max pull
16.0×
ceiling, this pool
EV trajectory · last 500 polls
Range: -18.4% to -8.8%
+EV crossings
≥2× pull
1.61%
fat-pull odds
≥10× pull
0.060%
grail odds
Median pull
$799
0.80× pack price, odds-weighted
CS Trigger
Pro only
How often does the 10%-extra-for-80%-floor insurance actually pay out on this pack? Estimates, not advice. You decide.
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Pool composition
You're underwater on 83% of pulls — most cards here are worth less than the $1000 pack.
Red = below break-even; green = above. The amber zone is where Collect Safe's 80% floor catches you.
Live activity
Every pull or add moves the EV
Card pool
Top cards by AC market value. Grail chips mark the top 0.1%; Chase marks the tier below. Trend tracks each card's value across every pack it's appeared in — its full history, not just its time in this pack — climbing or falling.
1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
Grail
2024-25 Panini Flawless · psa 8.0
$16,000
16.00×
0.0300%
$4.80
4d
2
Tyrese Maxey
Grail
2020-21 Panini National Treasures · beckett 9.5
$11,500
11.50×
0.0300%
$3.45
13d
3
Kobe Bryant
Grail
2012-13 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$9,320
9.32×
0.0300%
$2.80
4d
4
LeBron James
Chase
2023-24 Panini One and One · psa 9.0
$4,576
4.58×
0.1900%
$8.70
5d
5
Kobe Bryant
Chase
1996-97 Skybox E-X2000 · psa 8.0
$4,521
4.52×
0.1900%
$8.59
18d
6
Kobe Bryant
Chase
1996-97 Skybox E-X2000 · psa 8.0
$4,521
4.52×
0.1900%
$8.59
7d
7
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
Chase
2021-22 Panini Immaculate Collection · beckett 8.0
$4,500
4.50×
0.1900%
$8.55
14d
8
Jalen Brunson
Chase
2023-24 Panini One and One · psa 10.0
$3,629
3.63×
—
0.1900%
$6.90
1d
9
Jalen Brunson
Chase
2024-25 Panini Revolution · psa 9.0
$3,380
3.38×
—
0.1900%
$6.42
22h
10
Stephen Curry
Chase
2019-20 Panini Contenders Optic · psa 9.0
$2,293
2.29×
—
0.1900%
$4.36
5d
11
Anthony Edwards
Chase
No Market Comps Found
2025-26 Bowman · psa 9.0
$2,293
2.29×
—
0.1900%
$4.36
5d
12
Kobe Bryant
1997-98 Metal Universe · psa 9.0
$1,711
1.71×
—
1.9700%
$33.70
10h
13
LeBron James
2021-22 Panini Black · psa 9.0
$1,634
1.63×
—
1.9700%
$32.19
1d
14
Victor Wembanyama
2023-24 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$1,323
1.32×
—
1.9700%
$26.06
1d
15
LeBron James/Kobe Bryant
2009-10 Upper Deck · psa 9.0
$1,168
1.17×
—
1.9700%
$23.02
18h
16
Kobe Bryant
1996-97 Upper Deck UD3 · psa 10.0
$1,125
1.13×
—
1.9700%
$22.17
21h
17
LeBron James
2003-04 Bowman · psa 9.0
$1,066
1.07×
—
1.9700%
$21.00
1d
18
Kobe Bryant
1997-98 Fleer Ultra · psa 8.0
$1,055
1.06×
—
1.9700%
$20.79
15h
19
Jayson Tatum
2021-22 Panini Spectra · psa 9.0
$1,020
1.02×
—
1.9700%
$20.09
18h
20
Michael Jordan
1993-94 SkyBox Premium · psa 9.0
$956
0.96×
—
1.9700%
$18.83
18h
21
Michael Jordan
1996-97 Skybox E-X2000 · psa 8.0
$899
0.90×
—
1.9700%
$17.72
17h
22
Vince Carter
1999-00 Upper Deck Retro · psa 10.0
$890
0.89×
—
1.9700%
$17.53
18h
23
Michael Jordan
1987-88 Fleer · psa 8.0
$885
0.89×
—
1.9700%
$17.44
22h
24
Luka Doncic
2018-19 Panini Certified · beckett 9.5
$885
0.89×
—
1.9700%
$17.44
19h
25
Kobe Bryant
1997-98 Bowman's Best · psa 8.0
$882
0.88×
—
1.9700%
$17.38
10h
26
LeBron James
2024-25 Panini Prizm Deca · psa 10.0
$820
0.82×
—
1.9700%
$16.16
18h
27
LeBron James
2025-26 Topps Chrome · psa 10.0
$806
0.81×
—
1.9700%
$15.88
16h
28
Michael Jordan
1992-93 Topps Archives · psa 9.0
$804
0.80×
—
1.9700%
$15.84
23h
29
Stephen Curry
2025-26 Topps Chrome Cosmic · psa 10.0
$803
0.80×
—
1.9700%
$15.83
10h
30
Michael Jordan
1994-95 SkyBox E-Motion · psa 10.0
$802
0.80×
—
1.9700%
$15.81
23h
31
Michael Jordan
1994-95 Skybox E-Motion · psa 10.0
$801
0.80×
—
1.9700%
$15.78
18h
32
Michael Jordan
1995-96 SP · psa 9.0
$800
0.80×
—
1.9700%
$15.75
10h
33
Kobe Bryant
1996-97 Fleer Metal · beckett 9.5
$799
0.80×
—
1.9700%
$15.74
16h
34
Stephen Curry
2025-26 Topps Chrome · psa 9.0
$799
0.80×
—
1.9700%
$15.74
3h
35
Dwyane Wade
2025-26 Topps Chrome Update · beckett 9.0
$799
0.80×
—
1.9700%
$15.74
19h
36
Stephon Castle
No Market Comps Found
2025-26 Topps Chrome · psa 9.0
$799
0.80×
—
1.9700%
$15.74
19h
37
LeBron James
2025-26 Topps Chrome · psa 10.0
$779
0.78×
—
1.9700%
$15.35
16h
38
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
2018-19 Panini Donruss · psa 8.0
$751
0.75×
—
1.9700%
$14.79
1d
39
Luka Doncic
2018-19 Panini Select · beckett 9.5
$750
0.75×
—
1.9700%
$14.77
1d
40
Kobe Bryant
1996-97 Flair Showcase · psa 8.0
$743
0.74×
—
1.9700%
$14.64
19h
41
Victor Wembanyama
2023-24 Panini Contenders · psa 10.0
$736
0.74×
—
1.9700%
$14.49
18h
42
LeBron James
2003-04 Fleer Ultra · psa 10.0
$717
0.72×
—
1.9700%
$14.13
1d
43
Cooper Flagg
2025-26 Topps Chrome · psa 10.0
$712
0.71×
—
1.9700%
$14.04
18h
44
LeBron James
2008-09 Topps · psa 9.0
$690
0.69×
—
1.9700%
$13.59
17h
45
LeBron James
2008-09 Topps · psa 9.0
$690
0.69×
—
1.9700%
$13.59
10h
46
Nikola Jokic
2019-20 Panini Revolution · psa 10.0
$685
0.68×
—
1.9700%
$13.49
17h
47
Michael Jordan
1995-96 Skybox E-XL · psa 10.0
$661
0.66×
—
1.9700%
$13.01
18h
48
Michael Jordan
1995-96 Skybox E-XL · psa 10.0
$661
0.66×
—
1.9700%
$13.01
23h
49
Michael Jordan
1992-93 Upper Deck · psa 10.0
$660
0.66×
—
1.9700%
$12.99
18h
50
Giannis Antetokounmpo
2013-14 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$653
0.65×
—
1.9700%
$12.86
17h
51
Keyonte George
2023-24 Panini Mosaic · psa 10.0
$652
0.65×
—
1.9700%
$12.84
16h
52
Patrick Ewing
1986-87 Fleer · psa 9.0
$634
0.63×
—
1.9700%
$12.49
1d
53
Victor Wembanyama
2023-24 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$608
0.61×
—
1.9700%
$11.98
17h
54
Kobe Bryant
1997-98 Topps Finest · psa 10.0
$581
0.58×
—
1.9700%
$11.45
15h
55
Luka Doncic
2018-19 Panini Spectra · psa 9.0
$568
0.57×
—
1.9700%
$11.19
17h
56
Michael Jordan
1995-96 Fleer Metal · psa 8.0
$561
0.56×
—
1.9700%
$11.06
16h
57
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
2018-19 Panini NBA Hoops · psa 10.0
$558
0.56×
—
1.9700%
$10.99
20h
58
Luka Doncic
2018-19 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$540
0.54×
—
1.9700%
$10.63
17h
59
Victor Wembanyama
2023-24 Panini NBA Hoops · psa 10.0
$431
0.43×
—
1.9700%
$8.49
10h
60
Anthony Edwards
No Market Comps Found
2025-26 Topps Chrome Cosmic · psa 9.0
$400
0.40×
—
1.9700%
$7.88
17h
61
Michael Jordan
2001-02 Fleer Shoebox · psa 10.0
$399
0.40×
—
1.9700%
$7.86
1d
Σ pool EV (Σ value × pull probability)
$858.51
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