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Basketball

Ruby $250
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EV
-9.4%
Snapshot from 6h ago · public view delayed 6h · Sign up free for the 1-hour view →
Peak 7d
-3.5%
9h ago
% life +EV
0%
over last 500 polls
Max pull
400.0×
ceiling, this pool
EV trajectory · last 500 polls
Range: -18.4% to -3.5%
+EV crossings
break-even
≥2× pull
2.09%
fat-pull odds
≥10× pull
0.090%
grail odds
Median pull
$197
0.79× pack price, odds-weighted
CS Trigger
Pro only
How often does the 10%-extra-for-80%-floor insurance actually pay out on this pack? Estimates, not advice. You decide.
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Pool composition
30% of pulls are worth at least the $250 pack (before fees). Red = below break-even; green = above. The amber zone is where Collect Safe's 80% floor catches you.
Basketball · Ruby · $250 ≤0.05× pack price — 0.00% chance ≤0.05 0% .05-.1× pack price — 0.00% chance .05-.1 0% .1-.2× pack price — 1.96% chance .1-.2 2% .2-.35× pack price — 0.00% chance .2-.35 0% .35-.55× pack price — 15.68% chance .35-.55 16% .55-.75× pack price — 25.48% chance .55-.75 25% .75-.9× pack price — 23.52% chance .75-.9 24% .9-1× pack price — 3.92% chance .9-1 4% 1-1.25× pack price — 15.68% chance 1-1.25 16% 1.25-1.75× pack price — 9.80% chance 1.25-1.75 10% 1.75-2.5× pack price — 2.46% chance 1.75-2.5 2% 2.5-4× pack price — 1.50% chance 2.5-4 2% 4-7× pack price — 0.00% chance 4-7 0% 7-12× pack price — 0.00% chance 7-12 0% 12-25× pack price — 0.00% chance 12-25 0% >25× pack price — 0.090% chance >25 <0.1% Collect Safe floor · 0.889× break-even · 1.00× grail zone · up to 400× as of Nov 13, 2026 · 8:24 PM PST shouldirip.com
Live activity
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Card pool

Top cards by AC market value. Grail chips mark the top 0.1%; Chase marks the tier below. Trend tracks each card's value across every pack it's appeared in — its full history, not just its time in this pack — climbing or falling.

62 cards · sorted by value ▼
1
Mickey Mantle Grail
1952 Topps · psa 2.0
$100,000
400.00×
0.0005%
$0.50
14d
2
Victor Wembanyama Grail
2025-26 Bowman Sapphire Edition · psa 9.0
$10,253
41.01×
0.0300%
$3.08
12d
3
Giannis Antetokounmpo Grail
2013-14 Panini Flawless · beckett 9.0
$9,500
38.00×
0.0300%
$2.85
1d
4
Cooper Flagg Grail
2025-26 Bowman · psa 10.0
$8,132
32.53×
0.0300%
$2.44
14d
5
Derrick Rose Chase
2024-25 Panini Revolution · psa 9.0
$886
3.54×
0.2500%
$2.21
1d
6
Michael Jordan Chase
1995-96 Skybox E-XL · psa 10.0
$832
3.33×
0.2500%
$2.08
20h
7
Jayson Tatum Chase
2025-26 Bowman · psa 10.0
$828
3.31×
0.2500%
$2.07
1d
8
Austin Reaves Chase
2021-22 Panini Mosaic · psa 10.0
$704
2.82×
—
0.2500%
$1.76
1d
9
Dylan Harper Chase
2025-26 Bowman · psa 9.0
$682
2.73×
—
0.2500%
$1.71
1d
10
Kevin Garnett Chase
2003-04 Topps Chrome · psa 9.0
$641
2.56×
—
0.2500%
$1.60
6h
11
Kobe Bryant Chase
1996-97 Fleer Ultra · psa 9.0
$619
2.48×
—
0.2500%
$1.55
1d
12
Shaquille O'Neal Chase
1993-94 Fleer Ultra · psa 8.0
$542
2.17×
—
0.2500%
$1.36
9h
13
Michael Jordan
1992-93 Upper Deck · psa 10.0
$481
1.93×
—
1.9600%
$9.43
9h
14
Michael Jordan
1992-93 Fleer · psa 10.0
$371
1.48×
—
1.9600%
$7.26
9h
15
Michael Jordan
1994-95 Upper Deck SP Championship · psa 9.0
$371
1.48×
—
1.9600%
$7.26
6h
16
Bub Carrington
2024-25 Panini Revolution · psa 9.0
$338
1.35×
—
1.9600%
$6.63
7h
17
Kobe Bryant
2000-01 Fleer Mystique · psa 9.0
$318
1.27×
—
1.9600%
$6.22
17h
18
Kobe Bryant
1999-00 Skybox E-X · psa 9.0
$313
1.25×
—
1.9600%
$6.13
6h
19
Kobe Bryant
1996-97 Fleer · psa 8.0
$297
1.19×
—
1.9600%
$5.83
6h
20
Brandon Miller
2023-24 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$278
1.11×
—
1.9600%
$5.45
6h
21
Keyonte George
2023-24 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$272
1.09×
—
1.9600%
$5.34
17h
22
Michael Jordan
1989-90 NBA Hoops · psa 10.0
$263
1.05×
—
1.9600%
$5.15
8h
23
Tim Duncan
1997-98 Topps Finest · psa 10.0
$257
1.03×
—
1.9600%
$5.04
7h
24
Michael Jordan
1996-97 Skybox Z-Force · psa 8.0
$256
1.02×
—
1.9600%
$5.02
52m 46s
25
Michael Jordan
1996-97 Skybox Premium · psa 9.0
$255
1.02×
—
1.9600%
$5.00
6h
26
Giannis Antetokounmpo
2025-26 Topps Chrome Cosmic · psa 9.0
$254
1.02×
—
1.9600%
$4.99
7h
27
Giannis Antetokounmpo
2013-14 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$246
0.99×
—
1.9600%
$4.83
11h
28
Victor Wembanyama
2023-24 Panini Prizm · psa 8.0
$229
0.92×
—
1.9600%
$4.50
17h
29
Michael Jordan
1988 Kenner Starting Lineup · psa 8.0
$225
0.90×
—
1.9600%
$4.41
12h
30
Michael Jordan
2009-10 Upper Deck Michael Jordan Legacy Collection Hall of Fame Edition · psa 10.0
$215
0.86×
—
1.9600%
$4.22
10h
31
Michael Jordan
2026 Upper Deck Space Jam 30th Anniversary · psa 10.0
$207
0.83×
—
1.9600%
$4.06
6h
32
Shaquille O’Neal
1992-93 Fleer Ultra · psa 10.0
$206
0.83×
—
1.9600%
$4.04
6h
33
LeBron James
2019-20 Panini Revolution · psa 9.0
$205
0.82×
—
1.9600%
$4.02
10h
34
Victor Wembanyama
2025-26 Topps Chrome · psa 10.0
$204
0.82×
—
1.9600%
$4.00
12h
35
Cooper Flagg
2025-26 Topps Chrome · psa 9.0
$203
0.81×
—
1.9600%
$3.99
8h
36
Michael Jordan
1996-97 Fleer Metal · beckett 9.0
$200
0.80×
—
1.9600%
$3.92
9h
37
U.S. Olympic Basketball Team
1992 Impel U.S. Olympicards · psa 10.0
$197
0.79×
—
1.9600%
$3.86
6h
38
Nickeil Alexander-Walker
2019-20 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$196
0.78×
—
1.9600%
$3.84
8h
39
Michael Jordan
1995-96 Skybox E-XL · psa 9.0
$190
0.76×
—
1.9600%
$3.72
10h
40
Dennis Rodman
1988-89 Fleer · psa 9.0
$188
0.75×
—
1.9600%
$3.69
7h
41
Michael Jordan
1995-96 NBA Hoops · psa 8.0
$186
0.74×
—
1.9600%
$3.64
8h
42
Michael Jordan
1991-92 Skybox · psa 10.0
$183
0.73×
—
1.9600%
$3.59
7h
43
Michael Jordan
1995-96 Topps Finest · psa 8.0
$180
0.72×
—
1.9600%
$3.53
8h
44
Kobe Bryant
1997-98 Fleer Ultra · psa 8.0
$178
0.71×
—
1.9600%
$3.48
6h
45
Michael Jordan
1995-96 SP · psa 9.0
$174
0.69×
—
1.9600%
$3.40
10h
46
Shaquille O'Neal
1992-93 Topps Stadium Club · psa 9.0
$171
0.68×
—
1.9600%
$3.36
7h
47
Kobe Bryant
2001-02 Topps Chrome · psa 9.0
$171
0.68×
—
1.9600%
$3.35
7h
48
Paolo Banchero
2024-25 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$169
0.68×
—
1.9600%
$3.31
7h
49
Jalen Williams
2022-23 Panini Flux · psa 10.0
$164
0.65×
—
1.9600%
$3.21
11h
50
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
2018-19 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$159
0.64×
—
1.9600%
$3.11
6h
51
LeBron James
2019-20 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$152
0.61×
—
1.9600%
$2.98
9h
52
Stephen Curry
2019-20 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$148
0.59×
—
1.9600%
$2.90
7h
53
Michael Jordan
1992-93 Upper Deck European (Italian) · psa 9.0
$138
0.55×
—
1.9600%
$2.71
17h
54
Tyrese Haliburton
2020-21 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$133
0.53×
—
1.9600%
$2.61
6h
55
Kobe Bryant
2004-05 Flair · psa 9.0
$133
0.53×
—
1.9600%
$2.61
1d
56
Stephon Castle
2024-25 Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$130
0.52×
—
1.9600%
$2.56
6h
57
Amen Thompson
2023-24 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$119
0.48×
—
1.9600%
$2.34
11h
58
Michael Jordan
1991-92 NBA Hoops · psa 9.0
$113
0.45×
—
1.9600%
$2.21
5h
59
Kobe Bryant
2000-01 Upper Deck Victory · arena_club 10.0
$100
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$1.96
11h
60
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
2025-26 Topps Chrome · psa 9.0
$100
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$1.96
6h
61
LeBron James
2024-25 Panini Prizm · beckett 9.0
$100
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$1.96
9h
62
Kobe Bryant
2018-19 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$35
0.14×
—
1.9600%
$0.68
6h
Σ   pool EV (Σ value × pull probability)
$226.51
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