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Basketball

Bronze $25 WARM

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-27.7%

Snapshot from 6h ago · public view delayed 6h · Sign up free for the 1-hour view →

Peak 7d

-12.3%

1d ago

% life +EV

over last 500 polls

Max pull

42.0×

ceiling, this pool

EV trajectory · last 500 polls

Range: -38.1% to -12.3%

+EV crossings

≥2× pull

2.03%

fat-pull odds

≥10× pull

0.030%

grail odds

Median pull

$15

0.60× pack price, odds-weighted

CS Trigger

Pro only

How often does the 10%-extra-for-80%-floor insurance actually pay out on this pack? Estimates, not advice. You decide.

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Pool composition

You're underwater on 80% of pulls — most cards here are worth less than the $25 pack. Red = below break-even; green = above. The amber zone is where Collect Safe's 80% floor catches you.

Live activity

Every pull or add moves the EV

↓

Cole Anthony · 2020-21 Panini Prizm · PSA 10 pulled

6m 29s ago

$11

↓

Larry Johnson · 1991-92 Upper Deck · PSA 9 pulled

6m 29s ago

$16

↑

Magic Johnson · 1991-92 Skybox · PSA 9 added

6m 29s ago

$13

↑

Scottie Barnes · 2021-22 Panini Donruss · BECKETT 9 added

6m 29s ago

$18

Live activity is Pro

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Card pool

Top cards by AC market value. Grail chips mark the top 0.1%; Chase marks the tier below. Trend tracks each card's value across every pack it's appeared in — its full history, not just its time in this pack — climbing or falling.

61 cards · sorted by value ▼

Card · Set

Value ▼

V/P

Trend

Pull P

EV ctrb

Added

Stephen Curry Grail

2025-26 Bowman · psa 9.0

$1,049

41.96×

0.0100%

$0.10

13d

Kobe Bryant Grail

1997-98 Skybox Z-Force · psa 10.0

$891

35.64×

0.0100%

$0.09

Anthony Edwards Grail

2023-24 Panini Select · psa 9.0

$700

28.00×

0.0100%

$0.07

22h

Victor Wembanyama Chase

2023-24 Panini Instant NBA · psa 10.0

$109

4.36×

0.2500%

$0.27

Jayson Tatum Chase

2017-18 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 10.0

$100

3.99×

0.2500%

$0.25

Jalen Johnson Chase

2025-26 Topps Living · psa 10.0

$87

3.48×

0.2500%

$0.22

Cade Cunningham Chase

2021-22 Panini Revolution · psa 10.0

$78

3.12×

0.2500%

$0.20

11h

Tim Duncan Chase

1997-98 Topps Finest · psa 9.0

$77

3.10×

—

0.2500%

$0.19

Dave Greenwood Chase

1986-87 Fleer · psa 9.0

$72

2.87×

—

0.2500%

$0.18

Jaylen Brown Chase

2016-17 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 9.0

$62

2.48×

—

0.2500%

$0.15

Michael Jordan Chase No Market Comps Found

1990-91 Panini Stickers · beckett 8.5

$62

2.48×

—

0.2500%

$0.15

14h

Ausar Thompson

2023-24 Panini Mosaic · psa 10.0

$34

1.36×

—

1.9600%

$0.67

Steph Curry

2024 Topps Now Olympics · beckett 9.5

$34

1.36×

—

1.9600%

$0.67

Kobe Bufkin

2023-24 Panini Contenders · psa 10.0

$33

1.32×

—

1.9600%

$0.65

Anfernee Simons

2018-19 Panini Contenders · psa 9.0

$31

1.24×

—

1.9600%

$0.61

Anthony Edwards

2020-21 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0

$31

1.23×

—

1.9600%

$0.60

Anthony Davis

2012-13 Panini Past & Present · psa 10.0

$30

1.20×

—

1.9600%

$0.59

Anthony Edwards

2020-21 Panini Mosaic · psa 9.0

$29

1.16×

—

1.9600%

$0.57

Jalen Green

2021-22 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0

$27

1.07×

—

1.9600%

$0.53

Ace Bailey

2025-26 Topps Chrome · psa 9.0

$27

1.07×

—

1.9600%

$0.53

Anthony Edwards

2023-24 Panini Mosaic · psa 10.0

$24

0.96×

—

1.9600%

$0.47

Shaquille O’Neal

1992-93 Fleer Ultra · psa 8.0

$24

0.96×

—

1.9600%

$0.47

De'Aaron Fox

2017-18 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 9.0

$21

0.85×

—

1.9600%

$0.42

Paolo Banchero

2022-23 Panini Recon · psa 9.0

$20

0.80×

—

1.9600%

$0.39

Devin Booker Pop 1 No Market Comps Found

2020-21 Panini Contenders Draft Picks · psa 9.0

$19

0.78×

—

1.9600%

$0.38

LaMelo Ball

2020-21 Panini Donruss · psa 10.0

$19

0.78×

—

1.9600%

$0.38

Shaquille O'Neal

1992-93 Skybox · psa 8.0

$19

0.76×

—

1.9600%

$0.37

OG Anunoby

2017-18 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 9.0

$18

0.74×

—

1.9600%

$0.36

Chet Holmgren

2022-23 Panini Donruss · psa 9.0

$17

0.70×

—

1.9600%

$0.34

Tyrese Maxey

2020-21 Panini Mosaic · psa 9.0

$17

0.68×

—

1.9600%

$0.33

Chet Holmgren

2022-23 Panini Donruss · psa 9.0

$17

0.68×

—

1.9600%

$0.33

Dalton Knecht

2024-25 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0

$16

0.64×

—

1.9600%

$0.31

Brandin Podziemski

2023-24 Donruss Optic · psa 10.0

$15

0.61×

—

1.9600%

$0.30

Scottie Pippen

1990-91 NBA Hoops · sgc 9.0

$15

0.60×

—

1.9600%

$0.29

Shaquille O’Neal

1992-93 Fleer Ultra · psa 7.0

$15

0.60×

—

1.9600%

$0.29

Brandon Ingram

2016-17 Panini Mosaic Prizm · psa 10.0

$15

0.60×

—

1.9600%

$0.29

Victor Oladipo

2013-14 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0

$15

0.58×

—

1.9600%

$0.29

Zion Williamson

2019-20 Panini Mosaic · psa 10.0

$15

0.58×

—

1.9600%

$0.29

Earvin Johnson

1990-91 Fleer · psa 8.0

$13

0.53×

—

1.9600%

$0.26

Mike Bibby

1998-99 SP Authentic · psa 9.0

$13

0.52×

—

1.9600%

$0.26

Matisse Thybulle

2019-20 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0

$13

0.52×

—

1.9600%

$0.25

Jaren Jackson Jr.

2018-19 Panini Donruss · psa 10.0

$13

0.52×

—

1.9600%

$0.25

Zion Williamson

2019-20 Panini Hoops Premium Stock · psa 10.0

$12

0.48×

—

1.9600%

$0.24

Keldon Johnson

2019-20 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0

$11

0.46×

—

1.9600%

$0.22

Keldon Johnson

2019-20 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0

$11

0.46×

—

1.9600%

$0.22

Rui Hachimura

2019-20 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0

$11

0.43×

—

1.9600%

$0.21

Zion Williamson

2019-20 Panini Mosaic · psa 10.0

$10

0.42×

—

1.9600%

$0.21

Jayson Tatum

2017-18 Panini NBA Hoops · psa 9.0

$10

0.42×

—

1.9600%

$0.21

Kasparas Jakucionis

2025-26 Topps Chrome · psa 9.0

$10

0.41×

—

1.9600%

$0.20

Cam Reddish

2019-20 Panini Donruss · psa 10.0

$10

0.40×

—

1.9600%

$0.20

Ziaire Williams

2021-22 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 9.0

$10

0.40×

—

1.9600%

$0.20

Marvin Bagley III

2018-19 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 8.0

$10

0.40×

—

1.9600%

$0.20

Ziaire Williams

2021-22 Panini Select · psa 10.0

$10

0.40×

—

1.9600%

$0.20

Julius Randle Pop 1 No Market Comps Found

2022-23 Panini Mosaic · psa 10.0

$10

0.40×

—

1.9600%

$0.20

Dalton Knecht

2024-25 Panini Instant NBA · psa 10.0

0.35×

—

1.9600%

$0.17

Michael Porter Jr.

2018-19 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0

0.34×

—

1.9600%

$0.16

John Collins

2017-18 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0

0.32×

—

1.9600%

$0.16

34m 29s

Svi Mykhailiuk

2018-19 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0

0.28×

—

1.9600%

$0.14

De'Andre Hunter

2019-20 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0

0.28×

—

1.9600%

$0.13

Markelle Fultz

2017-18 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0

0.27×

—

1.9600%

$0.13

Brandon Clarke

2019-20 Panini Hoops Premium Stock · psa 9.0

0.17×

—

1.9600%

$0.08

Σ pool EV (Σ value × pull probability)

$18.08

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