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Basketball

Gold $100
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EV
-26.9%
Snapshot from 6h ago · public view delayed 6h · Sign up free for the 1-hour view →
Peak 7d
-10.3%
1d ago
% life +EV
0%
over last 500 polls
Max pull
1000.0×
ceiling, this pool
EV trajectory · last 500 polls
Range: -49.8% to -10.3%
+EV crossings
break-even
≥2× pull
2.14%
fat-pull odds
≥10× pull
0.060%
grail odds
Median pull
$48
0.48× pack price, odds-weighted
CS Trigger
Pro only
How often does the 10%-extra-for-80%-floor insurance actually pay out on this pack? Estimates, not advice. You decide.
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Pool composition
20% of pulls are worth at least the $100 pack (before fees). Red = below break-even; green = above. The amber zone is where Collect Safe's 80% floor catches you.
Basketball · Gold · $100 ≤0.05× pack price — 0.00% chance ≤0.05 0% .05-.1× pack price — 1.96% chance .05-.1 2% .1-.2× pack price — 1.96% chance .1-.2 2% .2-.35× pack price — 3.92% chance .2-.35 4% .35-.55× pack price — 50.96% chance .35-.55 51% .55-.75× pack price — 9.80% chance .55-.75 10% .75-.9× pack price — 11.76% chance .75-.9 12% .9-1× pack price — 0.00% chance .9-1 0% 1-1.25× pack price — 5.88% chance 1-1.25 6% 1.25-1.75× pack price — 9.80% chance 1.25-1.75 10% 1.75-2.5× pack price — 1.96% chance 1.75-2.5 2% 2.5-4× pack price — 2.08% chance 2.5-4 2% 4-7× pack price — 0.00% chance 4-7 0% 7-12× pack price — 0.00% chance 7-12 0% 12-25× pack price — 0.020% chance 12-25 <0.1% >25× pack price — 0.040% chance >25 <0.1% Collect Safe floor · 0.889× break-even · 1.00× grail zone · up to 1000× as of Nov 13, 2026 · 8:24 PM PST shouldirip.com
Live activity
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Card pool

Top cards by AC market value. Grail chips mark the top 0.1%; Chase marks the tier below. Trend tracks each card's value across every pack it's appeared in — its full history, not just its time in this pack — climbing or falling.

62 cards · sorted by value ▼
1
Mickey Mantle Grail
1952 Topps · psa 2.0
$100,000
1000.00×
—
0.0002%
$0.20
14d
2
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Grail
2024-25 Panini Revolution · psa 9.0
$5,075
50.75×
—
0.0200%
$1.02
1d
3
Anthony Edwards Grail
2020-21 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$2,597
25.97×
—
0.0200%
$0.52
2d
4
Luka Doncic Grail
2024-25 Panini Revolution · psa 9.0
$1,992
19.92×
—
0.0200%
$0.40
1d
5
Keyonte George Chase
2023-24 Panini Mosaic · psa 10.0
$398
3.98×
—
0.2600%
$1.03
1d
6
Stephen Curry Chase
2024-25 Panini Player of the Day · psa 10.0
$332
3.33×
—
0.2600%
$0.86
8h
7
Paolo Banchero Chase
2022-23 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$306
3.06×
—
0.2600%
$0.80
2d
8
Cooper Flagg Chase
2025-26 Topps Chrome · psa 10.0
$296
2.96×
—
0.2600%
$0.77
10h
9
Jalen Brunson Chase
2025-26 Topps Now · psa 10.0
$296
2.96×
—
0.2600%
$0.77
12h
10
Kevin Durant Chase
2007-08 Topps Finest · psa 10.0
$268
2.68×
—
0.2600%
$0.70
8h
11
Shaquille O'Neal Chase
1992-93 Topps · psa 10.0
$257
2.57×
—
0.2600%
$0.67
20h
12
Dwyane Wade Chase
2008-09 Topps Chrome · psa 10.0
$251
2.51×
—
0.2600%
$0.65
8h
13
Kevin Garnett
1995-96 Topps · psa 10.0
$197
1.97×
—
1.9600%
$3.87
2h
14
Collin Murray-Boyles
2025-26 Topps Chrome · psa 10.0
$168
1.68×
—
1.9600%
$3.29
6h
15
Keyonte George
2023-24 Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$155
1.55×
—
1.9600%
$3.04
6h
16
Stephon Castle
2024-25 Panini Mosaic · psa 9.0
$150
1.50×
—
1.9600%
$2.94
6h
17
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
2018-19 Panini Certified · psa 10.0
$148
1.48×
—
1.9600%
$2.90
6h
18
Shaquille O'Neal
1995-96 Skybox Premium · psa 8.0
$148
1.48×
—
1.9600%
$2.90
6h
19
Stephen Curry
2025-26 Topps Chrome · psa 9.0
$107
1.07×
—
1.9600%
$2.09
8h
20
Victor Wembanyama
2023-24 Panini Prizm Deca · psa 9.0
$106
1.06×
—
1.9600%
$2.09
7h
21
Stephen Curry
2019-20 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$103
1.03×
—
1.9600%
$2.02
6h
22
Matas Buzelis
2024-25 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$87
0.87×
—
1.9600%
$1.71
6h
23
Michael Jordan
1999-00 Upper Deck MVP · psa 9.0
$84
0.84×
—
1.9600%
$1.64
6h
24
Michael Jordan
2009-10 Upper Deck Michael Jordan Legacy Collection Hall of Fame Edition · psa 9.0
$82
0.82×
—
1.9600%
$1.60
5h
25
Chet Holmgren
2022-23 Panini Revolution · psa 9.0
$80
0.80×
—
1.9600%
$1.58
6h
26
Michael Jordan
1990-91 Fleer · psa 9.0
$80
0.80×
—
1.9600%
$1.56
6h
27
Joel Embiid
2014-15 Panini Excalibur · psa 10.0
$79
0.79×
—
1.9600%
$1.55
6h
28
Anthony Edwards
2020-21 Panini Mosaic · psa 10.0
$71
0.71×
—
1.9600%
$1.39
7h
29
Michael Jordan
1997-98 Upper Deck Michael Jordan Tribute · psa 9.0
$70
0.70×
—
1.9600%
$1.37
7h
30
Kobe Bryant
1996-97 NBA Hoops · psa 8.0
$70
0.69×
—
1.9600%
$1.36
7h
31
Tyrese Haliburton
2020-21 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$65
0.65×
—
1.9600%
$1.27
6h
32
LeBron James
2003-04 Upper Deck LeBron James · psa 9.0
$65
0.65×
—
1.9600%
$1.27
6h
33
Kobe Bryant
2012-13 Panini Kobe Anthology · psa 9.0
$54
0.54×
—
1.9600%
$1.06
6h
34
Shaquille O'Neal
1992-93 Topps Stadium Club · psa 8.0
$53
0.53×
—
1.9600%
$1.04
6h
35
Michael Jordan
1993-94 Upper Deck · psa 9.0
$50
0.50×
—
1.9600%
$0.98
7h
36
Cason Wallace
2023-24 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$48
0.48×
—
1.9600%
$0.95
6h
37
Allen Iverson
1996-97 Topps Finest · psa 8.0
$48
0.48×
—
1.9600%
$0.94
8h
38
Damian Lillard
2012-13 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$48
0.48×
—
1.9600%
$0.94
9h
39
Michael Jordan
1991-92 Upper Deck · psa 9.0
$48
0.48×
—
1.9600%
$0.93
6h
40
Michael Jordan
1991-92 Upper Deck · psa 9.0
$46
0.46×
—
1.9600%
$0.91
6h
41
LaMelo Ball
2020-21 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$44
0.44×
—
1.9600%
$0.86
8h
42
Michael Jordan
1992-93 Skybox · psa 9.0
$44
0.43×
—
1.9600%
$0.85
58m 43s
43
LeBron James
2003-04 Upper Deck · psa 8.0
$42
0.42×
—
1.9600%
$0.83
6h
44
Victor Wembanyama
2023-24 Panini NBA Hoops · psa 10.0
$40
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.78
6h
45
Desmond Bane
2020-21 Panini Select · arena_club 10.0
$40
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.78
4h
46
Bam Adebayo
2025-26 Topps Now · beckett 10.0
$40
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.78
8h
47
Jaime Jaquez Jr.
2023-24 Panini Phoenix · psa 10.0
$40
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.78
6h
48
Kobe Bryant
1998-99 SPx Finite · beckett 8.0
$40
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.78
6h
49
Shareef Abdur-Rahim Pop 1 No Market Comps Found
1999-00 Topps Finest · psa 9.0
$40
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.78
6h
50
Brandon Miller No Market Comps Found
2023-24 Panini Revolution · psa 10.0
$40
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.78
6h
51
Tyler Kolek No Market Comps Found
2024-25 Panini Prizm Black · psa 9.0
$40
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.78
7h
52
Kon Knueppel/Cooper Flagg
2025-26 Topps Now · psa 9.0
$40
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.78
6h
53
VJ Edgecombe
2025-26 Topps Now · beckett 9.5
$40
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.78
6h
54
Stephen Curry
2022-23 Panini Donruss · beckett 9.0
$40
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.78
6h
55
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
2023-24 Panini Contenders Optic · arena_club 10.0
$40
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.78
6h
56
Scoot Henderson No Market Comps Found
2023-24 Panini Hoops Premium Stock · psa 9.0
$40
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.78
6h
57
Devin Vassell
2020-21 Panini Mosaic · psa 10.0
$39
0.39×
—
1.9600%
$0.76
6h
58
Luka Doncic
2018-19 Panini Donruss · psa 9.0
$38
0.38×
—
1.9600%
$0.75
8h
59
Victor Wembanyama
2023-24 Panini Mosaic · psa 8.0
$23
0.23×
—
1.9600%
$0.45
6h
60
Ja Morant
2019-20 Panini Prizm · arena_club 10.0
$21
0.21×
—
1.9600%
$0.41
7h
61
Austin Reaves
2021-22 Panini Prizm · arena_club 10.0
$16
0.16×
—
1.9600%
$0.32
7h
62
Cooper Flagg
2024-25 Bowman U Now · arena_club 10.0
$6
0.06×
—
1.9600%
$0.12
7h
Σ   pool EV (Σ value × pull probability)
$73.14
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