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Basketball

Diamond $1000 WARM

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-14.1%

Snapshot from 6h ago · public view delayed 6h · Sign up free for the 1-hour view →

Peak 7d

-8.8%

23h ago

% life +EV

over last 500 polls

Max pull

16.0×

ceiling, this pool

EV trajectory · last 500 polls

Range: -18.4% to -8.8%

+EV crossings

≥2× pull

1.61%

fat-pull odds

≥10× pull

0.060%

grail odds

Median pull

$799

0.80× pack price, odds-weighted

CS Trigger

Pro only

How often does the 10%-extra-for-80%-floor insurance actually pay out on this pack? Estimates, not advice. You decide.

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Pool composition

You're underwater on 83% of pulls — most cards here are worth less than the $1000 pack. Red = below break-even; green = above. The amber zone is where Collect Safe's 80% floor catches you.

Live activity

Every pull or add moves the EV

↓

Luka Doncic · 2018-19 Panini Chronicles · PSA 10 pulled

2m 40s ago

$656

↑

Michael Jordan · 1998-99 Topps Chrome · PSA 10 added

2m 40s ago

$792

↓

Michael Jordan · 1997-98 Topps Stadium Club · PSA 9 pulled

31m 3s ago

$646

↓

Dylan Harper · 2025-26 Topps Chrome · PSA 10 pulled

31m 3s ago

$962

Live activity is Pro

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Card pool

Top cards by AC market value. Grail chips mark the top 0.1%; Chase marks the tier below. Trend tracks each card's value across every pack it's appeared in — its full history, not just its time in this pack — climbing or falling.

61 cards · sorted by value ▲

Card · Set

Value ▲

V/P

Trend

Pull P

EV ctrb

Added

Michael Jordan

2001-02 Fleer Shoebox · psa 10.0

$399

0.40×

—

1.9700%

$7.86

Anthony Edwards No Market Comps Found

2025-26 Topps Chrome Cosmic · psa 9.0

$400

0.40×

—

1.9700%

$7.88

17h

Victor Wembanyama

2023-24 Panini NBA Hoops · psa 10.0

$431

0.43×

—

1.9700%

$8.49

10h

Luka Doncic

2018-19 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0

$540

0.54×

—

1.9700%

$10.63

17h

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

2018-19 Panini NBA Hoops · psa 10.0

$558

0.56×

—

1.9700%

$10.99

20h

Michael Jordan

1995-96 Fleer Metal · psa 8.0

$561

0.56×

—

1.9700%

$11.06

16h

Luka Doncic

2018-19 Panini Spectra · psa 9.0

$568

0.57×

—

1.9700%

$11.19

17h

Kobe Bryant

1997-98 Topps Finest · psa 10.0

$581

0.58×

—

1.9700%

$11.45

15h

Victor Wembanyama

2023-24 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0

$608

0.61×

—

1.9700%

$11.98

17h

Patrick Ewing

1986-87 Fleer · psa 9.0

$634

0.63×

—

1.9700%

$12.49

Keyonte George

2023-24 Panini Mosaic · psa 10.0

$652

0.65×

—

1.9700%

$12.84

16h

Giannis Antetokounmpo

2013-14 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0

$653

0.65×

—

1.9700%

$12.86

17h

Michael Jordan

1992-93 Upper Deck · psa 10.0

$660

0.66×

—

1.9700%

$12.99

18h

Michael Jordan

1995-96 Skybox E-XL · psa 10.0

$661

0.66×

—

1.9700%

$13.01

18h

Michael Jordan

1995-96 Skybox E-XL · psa 10.0

$661

0.66×

—

1.9700%

$13.01

23h

Nikola Jokic

2019-20 Panini Revolution · psa 10.0

$685

0.68×

—

1.9700%

$13.49

17h

LeBron James

2008-09 Topps · psa 9.0

$690

0.69×

—

1.9700%

$13.59

17h

LeBron James

2008-09 Topps · psa 9.0

$690

0.69×

—

1.9700%

$13.59

10h

Cooper Flagg

2025-26 Topps Chrome · psa 10.0

$712

0.71×

—

1.9700%

$14.04

18h

LeBron James

2003-04 Fleer Ultra · psa 10.0

$717

0.72×

—

1.9700%

$14.13

Victor Wembanyama

2023-24 Panini Contenders · psa 10.0

$736

0.74×

—

1.9700%

$14.49

18h

Kobe Bryant

1996-97 Flair Showcase · psa 8.0

$743

0.74×

—

1.9700%

$14.64

19h

Luka Doncic

2018-19 Panini Select · beckett 9.5

$750

0.75×

—

1.9700%

$14.77

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

2018-19 Panini Donruss · psa 8.0

$751

0.75×

—

1.9700%

$14.79

LeBron James

2025-26 Topps Chrome · psa 10.0

$779

0.78×

—

1.9700%

$15.35

16h

Kobe Bryant

1996-97 Fleer Metal · beckett 9.5

$799

0.80×

—

1.9700%

$15.74

16h

Stephen Curry

2025-26 Topps Chrome · psa 9.0

$799

0.80×

—

1.9700%

$15.74

Dwyane Wade

2025-26 Topps Chrome Update · beckett 9.0

$799

0.80×

—

1.9700%

$15.74

19h

Stephon Castle No Market Comps Found

2025-26 Topps Chrome · psa 9.0

$799

0.80×

—

1.9700%

$15.74

19h

Michael Jordan

1995-96 SP · psa 9.0

$800

0.80×

—

1.9700%

$15.75

10h

Michael Jordan

1994-95 Skybox E-Motion · psa 10.0

$801

0.80×

—

1.9700%

$15.78

18h

Michael Jordan

1994-95 SkyBox E-Motion · psa 10.0

$802

0.80×

—

1.9700%

$15.81

23h

Stephen Curry

2025-26 Topps Chrome Cosmic · psa 10.0

$803

0.80×

—

1.9700%

$15.83

10h

Michael Jordan

1992-93 Topps Archives · psa 9.0

$804

0.80×

—

1.9700%

$15.84

23h

LeBron James

2025-26 Topps Chrome · psa 10.0

$806

0.81×

—

1.9700%

$15.88

16h

LeBron James

2024-25 Panini Prizm Deca · psa 10.0

$820

0.82×

—

1.9700%

$16.16

18h

Kobe Bryant

1997-98 Bowman's Best · psa 8.0

$882

0.88×

—

1.9700%

$17.38

10h

Michael Jordan

1987-88 Fleer · psa 8.0

$885

0.89×

—

1.9700%

$17.44

22h

Luka Doncic

2018-19 Panini Certified · beckett 9.5

$885

0.89×

—

1.9700%

$17.44

19h

Vince Carter

1999-00 Upper Deck Retro · psa 10.0

$890

0.89×

—

1.9700%

$17.53

18h

Michael Jordan

1996-97 Skybox E-X2000 · psa 8.0

$899

0.90×

—

1.9700%

$17.72

17h

Michael Jordan

1993-94 SkyBox Premium · psa 9.0

$956

0.96×

—

1.9700%

$18.83

18h

Jayson Tatum

2021-22 Panini Spectra · psa 9.0

$1,020

1.02×

—

1.9700%

$20.09

18h

Kobe Bryant

1997-98 Fleer Ultra · psa 8.0

$1,055

1.06×

—

1.9700%

$20.79

15h

LeBron James

2003-04 Bowman · psa 9.0

$1,066

1.07×

—

1.9700%

$21.00

Kobe Bryant

1996-97 Upper Deck UD3 · psa 10.0

$1,125

1.13×

—

1.9700%

$22.17

21h

LeBron James/Kobe Bryant

2009-10 Upper Deck · psa 9.0

$1,168

1.17×

—

1.9700%

$23.02

18h

Victor Wembanyama

2023-24 Panini Select · psa 10.0

$1,323

1.32×

—

1.9700%

$26.06

LeBron James

2021-22 Panini Black · psa 9.0

$1,634

1.63×

—

1.9700%

$32.19

Kobe Bryant

1997-98 Metal Universe · psa 9.0

$1,711

1.71×

—

1.9700%

$33.70

10h

Stephen Curry Chase

2019-20 Panini Contenders Optic · psa 9.0

$2,293

2.29×

—

0.1900%

$4.36

Anthony Edwards Chase No Market Comps Found

2025-26 Bowman · psa 9.0

$2,293

2.29×

—

0.1900%

$4.36

Jalen Brunson Chase

2024-25 Panini Revolution · psa 9.0

$3,380

3.38×

—

0.1900%

$6.42

22h

Jalen Brunson Chase

2023-24 Panini One and One · psa 10.0

$3,629

3.63×

—

0.1900%

$6.90

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Chase

2021-22 Panini Immaculate Collection · beckett 8.0

$4,500

4.50×

—

0.1900%

$8.55

14d

Kobe Bryant Chase

1996-97 Skybox E-X2000 · psa 8.0

$4,521

4.52×

—

0.1900%

$8.59

18d

Kobe Bryant Chase

1996-97 Skybox E-X2000 · psa 8.0

$4,521

4.52×

—

0.1900%

$8.59

LeBron James Chase

2023-24 Panini One and One · psa 9.0

$4,576

4.58×

—

0.1900%

$8.70

Kobe Bryant Grail

2012-13 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0

$9,320

9.32×

—

0.0300%

$2.80

Tyrese Maxey Grail

2020-21 Panini National Treasures · beckett 9.5

$11,500

11.50×

—

0.0300%

$3.45

13d

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Grail

2024-25 Panini Flawless · psa 8.0

$16,000

16.00×

—

0.0300%

$4.80

Σ pool EV (Σ value × pull probability)

$858.51

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