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Basketball
Bronze $25
Peak 7d
-18.7%
1d ago
% life +EV
0%
over last 500 polls
Max pull
4000.0×
ceiling, this pool
EV trajectory · last 500 polls
Range: -63.0% to -18.7%
+EV crossings
≥2× pull
2.11%
fat-pull odds
≥10× pull
0.030%
grail odds
Median pull
$10
0.40× pack price, odds-weighted
CS Trigger
Pro only
How often does the 10%-extra-for-80%-floor insurance actually pay out on this pack? Estimates, not advice. You decide.
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Pool composition
16% of pulls are worth at least the $25 pack (before fees).
Red = below break-even; green = above. The amber zone is where Collect Safe's 80% floor catches you.
Live activity
Every pull or add moves the EV
Card pool
Top cards by AC market value. Grail chips mark the top 0.1%; Chase marks the tier below. Trend tracks each card's value across every pack it's appeared in — its full history, not just its time in this pack — climbing or falling.
1
LeBron James
2021-22 Panini Chronicles · arena_club 9.5
$2
0.06×
—
1.9600%
$0.03
4h
2
Jayson Tatum
2023-24 Donruss Optic · arena_club 10.0
$2
0.07×
—
1.9600%
$0.03
5h
3
Dylan Harper
2025-26 Topps · arena_club 9.5
$2
0.07×
—
1.9600%
$0.04
6h
4
Stephen Curry
2024-25 Panini Donruss · arena_club 9.5
$2
0.08×
—
1.9600%
$0.04
6h
5
Evan Mobley
2021-22 Panini Donruss Optic · arena_club 10.0
$5
0.18×
—
1.9600%
$0.09
6h
6
Luka Samanic
2019-20 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$5
0.20×
—
1.9600%
$0.10
6h
7
LeBron James
2019-20 Panini Mosaic · arena_club 10.0
$6
0.25×
—
1.9600%
$0.12
6h
8
Hakeem Olajuwon
2024-25 Panini Prizm Deca · arena_club 9.5
$8
0.32×
—
1.9600%
$0.16
4h
9
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
2018-19 Panini NBA Hoops · arena_club 9.0
$10
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.20
7h
10
Pacome Dadiet
2024-25 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$10
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.20
4h
11
Kon Knueppel
2025-26 Topps Living · psa 9.0
$10
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.20
6h
12
Latrell Sprewell
1992-93 Topps · psa 9.0
$10
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.20
6h
13
Terance Mann
2019-20 Panini Prizm · sgc 9.5
$10
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.20
6h
14
Carsen Edwards
2019-20 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$10
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.20
6h
15
Jaxson Hayes
2019-20 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$10
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.20
6h
16
Jarrett Culver
2019-20 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$10
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.20
6h
17
Anthony Edwards
2020-21 Panini Chronicles · psa 9.0
$10
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.20
6h
18
Jalen Suggs
2021-22 Panini Chronicles Draft Picks · psa 10.0
$10
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.20
6h
19
Michael Jordan
1998 Upper Deck MJ Sticker Collection International · psa 7.0
$10
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.20
6h
20
Chris Livingston
2023-24 Topps Chrome · psa 9.0
$10
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.20
6h
21
Killian Hayes
2020-21 Panini Prizm · sgc 10.0
$10
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.20
6h
22
Kawhi Leonard
Pop 1
2024-25 Panini Select · psa 9.0
$10
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.20
6h
23
Bennedict Mathurin
2022-23 Panini Spectra · psa 10.0
$10
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.20
6h
24
Michael Jordan
1997-98 Upper Deck Collector's Choice · psa 9.0
$10
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.20
6h
25
Steve Francis
2023-24 Panini Immaculate Collection · arena_club 8.5
$10
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.20
6h
26
RJ Barrett
2019-20 Panini Prizm Draft Picks · psa 10.0
$10
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.20
6h
27
Ausar Thompson
2024-25 Donruss Optic · arena_club 10.0
$10
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.20
6h
28
Charles Smith
1989-90 Fleer · psa 9.0
$11
0.44×
—
1.9600%
$0.22
3h
29
Aaron Holiday
2018-19 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$11
0.44×
—
1.9600%
$0.22
6h
30
Dalton Knecht
2024-25 Panini Select · psa 9.0
$12
0.48×
—
1.9600%
$0.24
7h
31
Cooper Flagg
2025-26 Topps · psa 8.0
$15
0.60×
—
1.9600%
$0.29
3h
32
Grant Hill
1994-95 Flair · psa 9.0
$15
0.60×
—
1.9600%
$0.29
6h
33
Bradley Beal
2018-19 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$15
0.60×
—
1.9600%
$0.29
6h
34
Bub Carrington
2024-25 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$15
0.62×
—
1.9600%
$0.30
6h
35
Michael Jordan
1991-92 Fleer · psa 7.0
$16
0.63×
—
1.9600%
$0.31
6h
36
Scottie Barnes
2021-22 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$17
0.68×
—
1.9600%
$0.33
6h
37
Devin Booker
2020-21 Panini Illusions · psa 9.0
$19
0.76×
—
1.9600%
$0.37
6h
38
Jalen Green
2021-22 Panini Mosaic · psa 9.0
$19
0.76×
—
1.9600%
$0.37
6h
39
Michael Jordan
1992-93 Upper Deck · psa 6.0
$19
0.78×
—
1.9600%
$0.38
4h
40
Coby White
2019-20 Panini Hoops Premium Stock · psa 10.0
$20
0.80×
—
1.9600%
$0.39
6h
41
Chris Webber
1993-94 Topps · psa 9.0
$21
0.83×
—
1.9600%
$0.41
4h
42
Michael Porter Jr.
2018-19 Panini Chronicles · psa 10.0
$21
0.84×
—
1.9600%
$0.41
6h
43
Kon Knueppel
2025-26 Hoops · psa 9.0
$23
0.92×
—
1.9600%
$0.45
6h
44
Antawn Jamison
1998-99 Fleer Ultra · psa 9.0
$26
1.04×
—
1.9600%
$0.51
2h
45
Jalen Johnson
2021-22 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$28
1.11×
—
1.9600%
$0.54
6h
46
Bub Carrington
2024-25 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$29
1.16×
—
1.9600%
$0.57
4h
47
Amen Thompson
2023-24 Panini Haunted Hoops · psa 10.0
$31
1.25×
—
1.9600%
$0.61
6h
48
Brandon Miller
2023-24 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$37
1.48×
—
1.9600%
$0.73
3h
49
Michael Jordan
1995-96 Upper Deck Collector's Choice · psa 9.0
$42
1.67×
—
1.9600%
$0.82
6h
50
Michael Jordan
1991-92 Skybox · psa 9.0
$43
1.73×
—
1.9600%
$0.85
6h
51
Cooper Flagg
Chase
2025-26 Topps Match Attax · psa 10.0
$66
2.64×
—
0.2600%
$0.17
10h
52
Michael Jordan
Chase
1993-94 Topps Stadium Club · psa 9.0
$74
2.96×
—
0.2600%
$0.19
8h
53
Michael Jordan
Chase
1990-91 SkyBox · psa 9.0
$77
3.08×
—
0.2600%
$0.20
6h
54
Kobe Bryant
Chase
2003-04 Topps · psa 9.0
$81
3.23×
—
0.2600%
$0.21
7h
55
Jayson Tatum
Chase
2017-18 Panini Status · psa 10.0
$81
3.26×
—
0.2600%
$0.21
8h
56
Kobe Bryant
Chase
2003-04 Upper Deck Rookie Exclusives · psa 9.0
$86
3.46×
—
0.2600%
$0.22
7h
57
Anthony Edwards
Chase
2020-21 Panini Court Kings · psa 10.0
$92
3.66×
—
0.2600%
$0.24
8h
58
Derik Queen
Chase
2025-26 Topps · psa 10.0
$92
3.68×
—
0.2600%
$0.24
10h
59
Kobe Bryant
Grail
1997-98 Skybox Z-Force · psa 10.0
$646
25.83×
—
0.0100%
$0.06
12d
60
Nikola Jokic
Grail
2021-22 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$907
36.28×
—
0.0100%
$0.09
1d
61
Kobe Bryant
Grail
No Market Comps Found
2016-17 Panini Select · psa 9.0
$907
36.28×
—
0.0100%
$0.09
11d
62
Mickey Mantle
Grail
1952 Topps · psa 2.0
$100,000
4000.00×
—
0.0000%
$0.05
14d
Σ pool EV (Σ value × pull probability)
$16.22
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