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Basketball
Silver $50
Peak 7d
-19.7%
15h ago
% life +EV
0%
over last 500 polls
Max pull
2000.0×
ceiling, this pool
EV trajectory · last 500 polls
Range: -58.6% to -19.7%
+EV crossings
≥2× pull
1.28%
fat-pull odds
≥10× pull
0.030%
grail odds
Median pull
$39
0.77× pack price, odds-weighted
CS Trigger
Pro only
How often does the 10%-extra-for-80%-floor insurance actually pay out on this pack? Estimates, not advice. You decide.
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Pool composition
31% of pulls are worth at least the $50 pack (before fees).
Red = below break-even; green = above. The amber zone is where Collect Safe's 80% floor catches you.
Live activity
Every pull or add moves the EV
Card pool
Top cards by AC market value. Grail chips mark the top 0.1%; Chase marks the tier below. Trend tracks each card's value across every pack it's appeared in — its full history, not just its time in this pack — climbing or falling.
1
Austin Reaves
2021-22 Panini Chronicles · arena_club 10.0
$2
0.03×
—
1.9600%
$0.03
8h
2
Anthony Edwards
2024-25 Panini Donruss · arena_club 9.0
$2
0.03×
—
1.9600%
$0.03
7h
3
Michael Jordan
1993-94 NBA Hoops · arena_club 9.0
$3
0.07×
—
1.9600%
$0.06
7h
4
Michael Jordan
1999-00 Upper Deck MVP · psa 6.0
$4
0.08×
—
1.9600%
$0.08
7h
5
Stephen Curry/LeBron James/Kevin Durant
2024 Topps Now Olympics · arena_club 9.0
$8
0.16×
—
1.9600%
$0.15
6h
6
Ausar Thompson
2023-24 Panini Phoenix · arena_club 10.0
$10
0.20×
—
1.9600%
$0.19
11h
7
Cade Cunningham
2021-22 Panini Donruss · arena_club 9.5
$10
0.20×
—
1.9600%
$0.20
7h
8
Michael Jordan
2009-10 Upper Deck Michael Jordan Legacy Collection · psa 8.0
$10
0.20×
—
1.9600%
$0.20
6h
9
Keyonte George
2023-24 Panini Court Kings · arena_club 10.0
$11
0.22×
—
1.9600%
$0.22
6h
10
Nikola Jovic
2023-24 Panini Haunted Hoops · sgc 10.0
$20
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.39
6h
11
Anthony Edwards
2020-21 Panini Chronicles · psa 8.0
$20
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.39
6h
12
Anfernee Simons
2018-19 Panini Prizm · beckett 8.5
$20
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.39
6h
13
Paolo Banchero
2023 Panini The National VIP · arena_club 10.0
$20
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.39
6h
14
Dalton Knecht
2024-25 Panini Donruss · psa 9.0
$20
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.39
3h
15
LaMelo Ball
Pop 1
2024-25 Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$20
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.39
6h
16
Michael Jordan
1990 North Carolina Collegiate Collection · psa 8.0
$20
0.40×
—
1.9600%
$0.39
8h
17
Kon Knueppel
2025-26 Topps Chrome · psa 9.0
$25
0.51×
—
1.9600%
$0.50
7h
18
Jayson Tatum
2017-18 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$29
0.58×
—
1.9600%
$0.57
4h
19
Dylan Harper
2025-26 Topps Match Attax · psa 9.0
$29
0.59×
—
1.9600%
$0.57
7h
20
Cade Cunningham
2025-26 Bowman · psa 9.0
$33
0.66×
—
1.9600%
$0.65
6h
21
Luka Doncic
2019-20 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$33
0.66×
—
1.9600%
$0.65
7h
22
Victor Wembanyama
2023-24 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$34
0.68×
—
1.9600%
$0.67
7h
23
Jalen Green
2021-22 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$36
0.72×
—
1.9600%
$0.71
9h
24
Jaime Jaquez Jr.
2023-24 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$36
0.72×
—
1.9600%
$0.71
7h
25
Kon Knueppel
2025-26 Topps · psa 10.0
$38
0.76×
—
1.9600%
$0.74
8h
26
Amen Thompson
2023-24 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$39
0.77×
—
1.9600%
$0.76
9h
27
Stephon Castle
2024-25 Panini Donruss · psa 9.0
$41
0.82×
—
1.9600%
$0.80
6h
28
Trayce Jackson-Davis
Pop 1
2023-24 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$42
0.84×
—
1.9600%
$0.82
8h
29
Kevin Durant
2023-24 Panini NBA Hoops · arena_club 9.0
$43
0.86×
—
1.9600%
$0.84
6h
30
Michael Jordan
1995-96 Upper Deck · psa 7.0
$43
0.86×
—
1.9600%
$0.84
6h
31
Desmond Bane
2020-21 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$43
0.86×
—
1.9600%
$0.84
9h
32
Damian Lillard
2012-13 Panini Prizm · arena_club 9.5
$44
0.88×
—
1.9600%
$0.86
6h
33
Koby Brea
Pop 1
2025-26 Topps · psa 10.0
$49
0.98×
—
1.9600%
$0.96
6h
34
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
2023-24 Panini Select · arena_club 10.0
$49
0.98×
—
1.9600%
$0.96
6h
35
Michael Jordan
1990-91 Fleer · psa 8.0
$49
0.99×
—
1.9600%
$0.97
7h
36
Nikola Jokic
No Market Comps Found
2024-25 Panini Prizm Deca · psa 9.0
$50
1.00×
—
1.9600%
$0.98
7h
37
Josh Childress
2004-05 Topps Chrome · psa 9.0
$50
1.00×
—
1.9600%
$0.98
6h
38
Tyrese Haliburton
2020-21 Panini Mosaic · psa 10.0
$51
1.03×
—
1.9600%
$1.01
6h
39
Oklahoma City Thunder
2025-26 Topps Now · arena_club 10.0
$51
1.03×
—
1.9600%
$1.01
6h
40
Dennis Rodman
1990-91 SkyBox · psa 10.0
$51
1.03×
—
1.9600%
$1.01
6h
41
Anthony Edwards
2025-26 Finest · psa 10.0
$51
1.03×
—
1.9600%
$1.01
6h
42
LaMelo Ball
2020-21 Panini Mosaic · psa 10.0
$55
1.10×
—
1.9600%
$1.08
6h
43
Anthony Edwards
2020-21 Panini Select · arena_club 9.0
$56
1.11×
—
1.9600%
$1.09
6h
44
LeBron James
2024-25 Panini Donruss · beckett 9.0
$56
1.11×
—
1.9600%
$1.09
6h
45
Tim Duncan
1997-98 Topps Stadium Club · psa 9.0
$58
1.16×
—
1.9600%
$1.14
7h
46
Michael Jordan
1992-93 Topps Archives · psa 7.0
$61
1.22×
—
1.9600%
$1.20
6h
47
Cooper Flagg
Chase
2025-26 Topps Now · psa 10.0
$61
1.23×
—
0.2500%
$0.15
8h
48
LeBron James
2025-26 Topps Living · psa 10.0
$63
1.25×
—
1.9600%
$1.23
6h
49
Allen Leavell
1986-87 Fleer · psa 8.0
$63
1.27×
—
1.9600%
$1.24
7h
50
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
2024-25 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$64
1.28×
—
1.9600%
$1.25
7h
51
Jalen Brunson
Chase
2022-23 Panini Obsidian · arena_club 9.5
$70
1.40×
—
0.2500%
$0.17
6h
52
Victor Wembanyama
Chase
2023 Topps Now · psa 10.0
$72
1.45×
—
0.2500%
$0.18
9h
53
Cooper Flagg
2025-26 Topps · psa 10.0
$77
1.54×
—
1.9600%
$1.51
6h
54
Tyrese Maxey
Chase
2023-24 Panini Select · psa 9.0
$107
2.14×
—
0.2500%
$0.27
10h
55
Kareem Abdul-Jabbar
Chase
Pop 1
2023-24 Panini Phoenix · psa 10.0
$107
2.14×
—
0.2500%
$0.27
22h
56
Allen Iverson
Chase
2023-24 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$115
2.30×
—
0.2500%
$0.29
10h
57
Cooper Flagg
Chase
2025-26 Topps · beckett 10.0
$116
2.31×
—
0.2500%
$0.29
9h
58
Michael Jordan
Chase
1998-99 Upper Deck Black Diamond · psa 9.0
$116
2.31×
—
0.2500%
$0.29
12h
59
Victor Wembanyama
Grail
2024-25 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$904
18.09×
—
0.0100%
$0.09
8d
60
Victor Wembanyama
Grail
2025-26 Topps Chrome · psa 10.0
$1,058
21.16×
—
0.0100%
$0.11
8d
61
Victor Wembanyama
Grail
2023-24 Panini Spectra · psa 10.0
$1,148
22.96×
—
0.0100%
$0.11
8d
62
Mickey Mantle
Grail
1952 Topps · psa 2.0
$100,000
2000.00×
—
0.0001%
$0.10
14d
Σ pool EV (Σ value × pull probability)
$37.47
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